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Fundamental and Computational Sciences Directorate

Staff information

Kate Calvin

Human-Earth Sys Sci: Devlpmnt
Earth Scientist

Biography

Kate Calvin is a scientist at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's Joint Global Change Research Institute in College Park, MD. Her research focuses on model development and scenario analysis with the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM), JGCRI's integrated assessment model. Her recent work has focused on land, particularly interactions between land, energy, and water.

Research Interests

  • Integrated Assessment Modeling
  • Energy-Water-Land

Education and Credentials

  • Ph.D., Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University
  • M.S., , Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University
  • B.S., Mathematics, University of Maryland, College Park
  • B.S., Computer Science, University of Maryland, College Park

PNNL Publications

2019

  • Bond-Lamberty B., K.R. Dorheim, Y. Cui, R.L. Horowitz, A.C. Snyder, K.V. Calvin, and L. Feng, et al. 2019. "gcamdata: An R Package for Preparation, Synthesis, and Tracking of Input Data for the GCAM Integrated Human-Earth Systems Model." Journal of Open Research Software 7, no. 1:Article No. 6. PNNL-SA-135553. doi:10.5334/jors.232
  • Calvin K.V., B. Bond-Lamberty, A.D. Jones, X. Shi, A. Di Vittorio, and P.E. Thornton. 2019. "Characteristics of human-climate feedbacks differ at different radiative forcing levels." Global and Planetary Change 180. PNNL-SA-124587. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.06.003
  • Calvin K.V., P.L. Patel, L.E. Clarke, G.R. Asrar, B. Bond-Lamberty, R. Cui, and A. Di Vittorio, et al. 2019. "GCAM v5.1: Representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems." Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 2:677-698. PNNL-SA-137098. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-677-2019
  • Chen M., C.R. Vernon, M. Huang, K.V. Calvin, and I.P. Kraucunas. 2019. "Calibration and analysis of the uncertainty in downscaling global land use and land cover projections from GCAM using Demeter (v1.0.0)." Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 5:1753-1764. PNNL-SA-143284. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-1753-2019
  • Fitton N., P. Alexander, N. Arnell, B. Bajzelj, K.V. Calvin, J. Doelman, and J. Gerber, et al. 2019. "The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity." Global Environmental Change 58. PNNL-SA-134809. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101944
  • Gidden M., K. Riahi, S.J. Smith, S. Fujimori, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, and D. Van Vuuren, et al. 2019. "Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century." Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 4:1443-1475. PNNL-SA-139873. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019
  • Huang Z., M.I. Hejazi, Q. Tang, C.R. Vernon, Y. Liu, M. Chen, and K.V. Calvin. 2019. "Global agricultural green and blue water consumption under future climate and land use changes." Journal of Hydrology 574. PNNL-SA-137028. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.04.046
  • Lucas P., S. Hedden, D. Van Vuuren, K.V. Calvin, S.H. Chung, M. Harfoot, and A. Koberle, et al. 2019. "Chapter 21 - Future Developments Without Targeted Policies." In Global Environment Outlook (GEO-6): Healthy Planet, Healthy People. 484-509. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press. PNNL-SA-142863. doi:10.1017/9781108627146.027
  • Sinha E., A.M. Michalak, K.V. Calvin, and P. Lawrence. 2019. "Societal decisions about climate mitigation will have dramatic impacts on eutrophication in the 21st century." Nature Communications 10, no. 1:Article No. 939. PNNL-SA-135105. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08884-w
  • Snyder A.C., K.V. Calvin, M. Phillips, and A. Ruane. 2019. "A crop yield change emulator for use in GCAM and similar models: Persephone v1.0." Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 4:1319-1350. PNNL-SA-136789. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-1319-2019
  • Stehfest E., W. Van Zeist, H. Valin, H. Valin, P. Havlik, A. Popp, and G.P. Kyle, et al. 2019. "Key determinants of global land-use projections." Nature Communications 10, no. 1:2166. PNNL-ACT-SA-10368. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-09945-w
  • Turner S., M.I. Hejazi, K.V. Calvin, G.P. Kyle, and S.H. Kim. 2019. "A pathway of global food supply adaptation in a world with increasingly constrained groundwater." Science of the Total Environment 673. PNNL-SA-141009. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.070
  • Van Vuuren D., P. Lucas, K.V. Calvin, S.H. Chung, M. Harfoot, S. Hedden, and A. Koberle, et al. 2019. "Chapter 22 - Pathways Toward Sustainable Development." In Global Environment Outlook (GEO-6): Healthy Planet, Healthy People. 510-543. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press. PNNL-SA-142885. doi:10.1017/9781108627146.028
  • Xu X., A.K. Jain, and K.V. Calvin. 2019. "Quantifying the Biophysical and Socioeconomic Drivers of Changes in Forest and Agricultural Land in South and Southeast Asia." Global Change Biology 25, no. 6:2137-2151. PNNL-SA-136828. doi:10.1111/gcb.14611
  • Zhao X., K.V. Calvin, and M.A. Wise. 2019. "The critical role of conversion cost and comparative advantage in modeling agricultural land use change." In Proceedings of the 22nd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, June 19-21, 2019, Warsaw, Poland. West Lafayette, Indiana:Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). PNNL-SA-142313.

2018

  • Calvin K.V., and B. Bond-Lamberty. 2018. "Integrated human-earth system modeling-state of the science and future directions." Environmental Research Letters 13, no. 6:Article No. 063006. PNNL-SA-131869. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac642
  • Cui Y., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, M.I. Hejazi, S.H. Kim, G.P. Kyle, and P.L. Patel, et al. 2018. "Regional responses to future, demand-driven water scarcity." Environmental Research Letters 13, no. 9:Article No. 094006. PNNL-SA-132928. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aad8f7
  • Graham N.T., E. Davies, M.I. Hejazi, K.V. Calvin, S.H. Kim, L. Helinski, and F. Miralles-Wilhelm, et al. 2018. "Water Sector Assumptions for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways in an Integrated Modeling framework." Water Resources Research 54, no. 9:6423-6440. PNNL-SA-126476. doi:10.1029/2018WR023452
  • Iyer G.C., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, N. Hultman, C.A. Hartin, and H.C. McJeon, et al. 2018. "Implications of sustainable development considerations for comparability across nationally determined contributions." Nature Climate Change 8. PNNL-SA-121202. doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0039-z
  • Jones A.D., K.V. Calvin, X. Shi, A. Di Vittorio, B. Bond-Lamberty, P. Thornton, and W.D. Collins. 2018. "Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks." Geophysical Research Letters 45, no. 20:11,370-11,379. PNNL-SA-133018. doi:10.1029/2018GL079350
  • Lamontagne J.R., P. Reed, R.P. Link, K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2018. "Large Ensemble Analytic Framework for Consequence-Driven Discovery of Climate Change Scenarios." Earth's Future 6, no. 3:488-504. PNNL-ACT-SA-10362. doi:10.1002/2017EF000701
  • Rogelj J., A. Popp, K.V. Calvin, G. Luderer, J. Emmerling, D. Gernaat, and S. Fujimori, et al. 2018. "Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C." Nature Climate Change 8. PNNL-ACT-SA-10229. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3
  • Seneviratne S.I., R. Wartenburger, B. Guillod, A.L. Hirsch, M.A. Vogel, V. Brovkin, and D. Van Vuuren, et al. 2018. "Climate extremes, land-climate feedbacks, and land-use forcing at 1.5°C." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 376, no. 2119:Article No. 20160450. PNNL-SA-131570. doi:10.1098/rsta.2016.0450
  • Vernon C.R., Y.L. Le Page, M. Chen, M. Huang, K.V. Calvin, I.P. Kraucunas, and C.J. Braun. 2018. "Demeter - A land use and land cover change disaggregation model." Journal of Open Research Software 6, no. 1:Article No. 15. PNNL-SA-131044. doi:10.5334/jors.208

2017

  • Bauer N., K.V. Calvin, J. Emmerling, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, J. Hilaire, and J. Eom, et al. 2017. "Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector - Quantifying the Narratives." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-115383. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006
  • Calvin K.V., and K. Fisher-Vanden. 2017. "Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison." Environmental Research Letters 12, no. 11:115004. PNNL-SA-122866. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa843c
  • Calvin K.V., B. Bond-Lamberty, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, J. Eom, C.A. Hartin, and S.H. Kim, et al. 2017. "The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-115202. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010
  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, G.P. Kyle, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2017. "A Hindcast Experiment Using the GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land-Use Module." Climate Change Economics 8, no. 1:Article No. 1750005. PNNL-SA-121098. doi:10.1142/s2010007817500051
  • Kriegler E., N. Bauer, A. Popp, F. Humpenoder, M. Leimbach, J. Strefler, and L. Baumstark, et al. 2017. "Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): an energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-117807. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015
  • Popp A., K.V. Calvin, S. Fujimori, P. Havlik, F. Humpenoder, E. Stehfest, and B. Bodirsky, et al. 2017. "Land use futures in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-120882. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002
  • Rao S., Z. Klimont, S.J. Smith, R. van Dingenen, F. Dentener, L. Bouwman, and K. Riahi, et al. 2017. "Future Air Pollution in the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-116149. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012
  • Riahi K., D. Van Vuuren, E. Kriegler, J.A. Edmonds, B. O'Neill, S. Fujimori, and N. Bauer, et al. 2017. "The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-115333. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009
  • Snyder A.C., R.P. Link, and K.V. Calvin. 2017. "Evaluation of integrated assessment model hindcast experiments: A case study of the GCAM 3.0 land use module." Geoscientific Model Development 10, no. 12:4307-4319. PNNL-SA-125087. doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4307-2017
  • Thornton P.E., K.V. Calvin, A.D. Jones, A. Di Vittorio, B. Bond-Lamberty, L.M. Chini, and X. Shi, et al. 2017. "Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems." Nature Climate Change 7. PNNL-SA-111042. doi:10.1038/nclimate3310
  • van Soest H., L. Reis, L. Drouet, D. Van Vuuren, M. den Elzen, M. Tavoni, and K. Akimoto, et al. 2017. "Low-Emission Pathways in 11 Major Economies: Comparison of Cost-Optimal Pathways and Paris Climate Proposals." Climatic Change 142, no. 3-4:491-504. PNNL-SA-123676. doi:10.1007/s10584-017-1964-6
  • Van Vuuren D., K. Riahi, K.V. Calvin, R. Dellink, J. Emmerling, S. Fujimori, and S. Kc, et al. 2017. "The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-120880. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.009

2016

  • Calderon S., A.C. Alvarez, A. Loboguerrero, S. Arango, K.V. Calvin, T. Kober, and K. Daenzer, et al. 2016. "ACHIEVING CO2 REDUCTIONS IN COLOMBIA: EFFECTS OF CARBON TAXES AND ABATEMENT TARGETS." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-107360. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.05.010
  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, P. Luckow, G.P. Kyle, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2016. "Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions." Climatic Change 136, no. 1:57-68. PNWD-SA-10003. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0923-0
  • Calvin K.V., R.H. Beach, A. Gurgel, M. Labriet, and A. Loboguerrero. 2016. "Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land-Use Emissions in Latin America." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-107886. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.020
  • Calvin K.V., S. Pachauri, E. De Cian, and I. Mouratiadou. 2016. "The effect of African growth on future global energy, emissions, and regional development." Climatic Change 136, no. 1:109-125. PNNL-SA-92806. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0964-4
  • Di Sbroiavacca N., G. Nadal, F. Lallana, J. Falzon, and K.V. Calvin. 2016. "Emissions reduction scenarios in the Argentinean Energy Sector." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-109345. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.03.021
  • Hegre H., H. Buhaug, K.V. Calvin, J. Nordkvelle, S.T. Waldhoff, and E.A. Gilmore. 2016. "Forecasting Civil Conflict along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways." Environmental Research Letters 11, no. 5:Article No. 054002. PNNL-SA-119081. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002
  • Kim S.H., M.I. Hejazi, L. Liu, K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, and G.P. Kyle, et al. 2016. "Balancing Global Water Availability and Use at Basin Scale in an Integrated Assessment Model." Climatic Change 136, no. 2:217-231. PNNL-SA-112666. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1604-6
  • Kober T., J. Falzon, B. van der Zwaan, K.V. Calvin, A. Kanudia, A. Kitous, and M. Labriet. 2016. "A Multi-Model Study of Energy Supply Investments in Latin America under Climate Control Policy." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-109344. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.01.005
  • Kriegler E., I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer, N. Bauer, R.J. Brecha, K.V. Calvin, and E. DeCian, et al. 2016. "Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization? Overview of the RoSE multi-model study." Climatic Change 136, no. 1:7-22. PNNL-ACT-SA-10148. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1668-3
  • Lawrence D.M., G.C. Hurtt, A. Arneth, V. Brovkin, K.V. Calvin, A.D. Jones, and C.D. Jones, et al. 2016. "The Land-Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) Contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and Experimental Design." Geoscientific Model Development 9, no. 9:2973-2998. PNNL-SA-117132. doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-76
  • Luderer G., C. Bertram, K.V. Calvin, E. De Cian, and E. Kriegler. 2016. "Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term climate mitigation pathways." Climatic Change 136, no. 1:127-140. PNNL-SA-92176. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9
  • Muratori M., K.V. Calvin, M.A. Wise, G.P. Kyle, and J.A. Edmonds. 2016. "Global Economic Consequences of Deploying Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS)." Environmental Research Letters 11, no. 9:095004. PNNL-ACT-SA-10154. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095004
  • Prestele R., P. Alexander, M. Rounsevell, A. Arneth, K.V. Calvin, J. Doelman, and D. Eitelberg, et al. 2016. "Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison." Global Change Biology 22, no. 12:3967-3983. PNNL-SA-115917. doi:10.1111/gcb.13337
  • Rao S., Z. Klimont, J. Leitao, K. Riahi, R. van Dingenen, L. Reis, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2016. "A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality." Environmental Research Letters 11, no. 12:Article No. 124013. PNNL-SA-105978. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124013
  • Smith S.J., S. Rao, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren, K.V. Calvin, and G.P. Kyle. 2016. "Future Aerosol Emissions: A Multi-Model Comparison." Climatic Change 138, no. 1:13-24. PNNL-SA-97434. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1733-y
  • van der Zwaan B., K.V. Calvin, and L.E. Clarke. 2016. "Climate Mitigation in Latin America: Implications for Energy and Land Use: Preface to the Special Section on the findings of the CLIMACAP-LAMP Project." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-116534. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.005
  • van Ruijven B., K. Daenzer, K. Fisher-Vanden, T. Kober, S. Paltsev, R.H. Beach, and S. Calderon, et al. 2016. "Baseline Projections for Latin America: Base-Year Assumptions, Key Drivers and Greenhouse Emissions." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-108429. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.02.003
  • Veysey J., C. Octaviano, K.V. Calvin, S. Martinez, A. Kitous, J. McFarland, and B. van der Zwaan. 2016. "Pathways to Mexico’s Climate Change Mitigation Targets: A Multi-Model Analysis." Energy Economics 56. PNNL-SA-110211. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.04.011

2015

  • Bauer N., V. Bosetti, M. Hamdi-Cherif, A. Kitous, D. McCollum, A. Mejean, and S. Rao, et al. 2015. "CO2 emissions mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, no. A:243-256. PNNL-SA-97770. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009
  • Calvin K.V., B. Bond-Lamberty, J.A. Edmonds, M.I. Hejazi, S.T. Waldhoff, M.A. Wise, and Y. Zhou. 2015. "The Effects of Climate Sensitivity and Carbon Cycle Interactions on Mitigation Policy Stringency." Climatic Change 131, no. 1:35-50. PNNL-SA-94788. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-1026-7
  • Calvin K.V., S. Rose, M.A. Wise, H.C. McJeon, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2015. "Global Climate, Energy, and Economic Implications of International Energy Offsets Programs." Climatic Change 133, no. 4:583-596. PNWD-SA-10499. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1482-3
  • Clarke L.E., K. Jiang, K. Akimoto, M. Babiker, G.J. Blanford, K. Fisher-Vanden, and J. Hourcade, et al. 2015. "Chapter 6 Assessing Transformation Pathways. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change." In Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by O Edenhofer, et al. 413-510. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press. PNNL-SA-102686. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415416.012
  • Collins W.D., A.P. Craig, J.E. Truesdale, A. Di Vittorio, A.D. Jones, B. Bond-Lamberty, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2015. "The integrated Earth System Model Version 1: formulation and functionality." Biogeosciences 8. PNNL-SA-110647. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2203-2015
  • Fischedick M., J. Roy, A. Abdel-Aziz, A. Acquaye, J. Allwood, J. Ceron, and Y. Geng, et al. 2015. "Chapter 10, Industry, in: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change." In Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change, edited by O Edenhofer, et al. 739-810. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press. PNNL-SA-103522. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415416.016
  • Gernaat D., K.V. Calvin, P. Lucas, G. Luderer, S. Otto, S. Rao, and J. Strefler, et al. 2015. "Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios." Global Environmental Change 33. PNNL-SA-105819. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.010
  • Iyer G.C., J.A. Edmonds, A.A. Fawcett, N. Hultman, J. Alsalam, G.R. Asrar, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2015. "The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C." Environmental Research Letters 10, no. 12:Article No. 125002. PNNL-SA-111720. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002
  • Jones A.D., K.V. Calvin, W.D. Collins, and J.A. Edmonds. 2015. "Accounting for radiative forcing from albedo change in future global land-use scenarios." Climatic Change 131, no. 4:691-703. PNNL-SA-109922. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1411-5
  • Lucas P., J. Nielsen, K.V. Calvin, D. McCollum, G. Marangoni, J. Strefler, and B. van der Zwaan, et al. 2015. "Future energy system challenges for Africa: Insights from Integrated Assessment Models." Energy Policy 86. PNNL-SA-107638. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.017
  • Smith S.J., J.A. Edmonds, C.A. Hartin, A. Mundra, and K.V. Calvin. 2015. "Near-Term Acceleration In The Rate of Temperature Change." Nature Climate Change 5, no. 4:333-336. PNNL-SA-93187. doi:10.1038/nclimate2552
  • Strzepek K., J. Neumann, J. Smith, J. Martinich, B. Boehlert, M.I. Hejazi, and J. Henderson, et al. 2015. "Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States." Climatic Change 131, no. 1:127-141. PNNL-SA-93379. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9
  • Tavoni M., E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, D. Van Vuuren, T. Aboumahboub, A. Bowen, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2015. "Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models." Nature Climate Change 5. PNNL-SA-101907. doi:10.1038/nclimate2475
  • Zhou Y., M.I. Hejazi, S.J. Smith, J.A. Edmonds, H. Li, L.E. Clarke, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2015. "A Comprehensive View of Global Potential for Hydro-generated Electricity." Energy and Environmental Science 8, no. 9:2622-2633. PNNL-SA-109269. doi:10.1039/c5ee00888c

2014

  • Bond-Lamberty B., A. Rocha, K.V. Calvin, B. Holmes, C. Wang, and M.L. Goulden. 2014. "Disturbance legacies and climate jointly drive tree growth and mortality in an intensively studied boreal forest." Global Change Biology 20, no. 1:216-227. PNNL-SA-95459. doi:10.1111/gcb.12404
  • Bond-Lamberty B., K.V. Calvin, A.D. Jones, J. Mao, P.L. Patel, X. Shi, and A.M. Thomson, et al. 2014. "On linking an Earth system model to the equilibrium carbon representation of an economically optimizing land use model." Geoscientific Model Development 7, no. 6:2545-2555. PNNL-SA-100308. doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2545-2014
  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, G.P. Kyle, P.L. Patel, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2014. "Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets." Climatic Change 123, no. 3-4:691-704. PNNL-SA-91566. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0897-y
  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, A.D. Jones, and A.M. Thomson. 2014. "Near-term limits to mitigation: challenges arising from contrary mitigation effects from indirect land-use change and sulfur emissions." Energy Economics 42. PNNL-SA-92596. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.026
  • Chaturvedi V., L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, K.V. Calvin, and G.P. Kyle. 2014. "Capital investment requirements for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation in power generation on near term to century time scales and global to regional spatial scales." Energy Economics 46. PNNL-SA-94964. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2014.09.008
  • Di Vittorio A., L.M. Chini, B. Bond-Lamberty, J. Mao, X. Shi, J.E. Truesdale, and A.P. Craig, et al. 2014. "From land use to land cover: Restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment - earth system model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations." Biogeosciences 11, no. 23:6435-6450. PNNL-SA-101139. doi:10.5194/bg-11-6435-2014
  • Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, G.P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "Integrated assessment of global water scarcity over the 21st century - Part 2: Climate change mitigation policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, no. 8:2859-2883. PNNL-SA-90338. doi:10.5194/hessd-10-3383-2013
  • Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, G.P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "Integrated Assessment of Global Water Scarcity over the 21st Century under Multiple Climate Change Mitigation Policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, no. 8:2859-2883. PNNL-SA-90339. doi:10.5194/hess-18-2859-2014
  • Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, G.P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "Integrated assessment of global water scarcity over the 21st century under multiple climate change mitigation policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, no. 8:2859-2883. PNNL-SA-103668. doi:10.5194/hess-18-2859-2014
  • Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, G.P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "LONG-TERM GLOBAL WATER USE PROJECTIONS USING SIX SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELING FRAMEWORK." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 81. PNNL-SA-89288. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.05.006
  • Kyle G.P., C. Mueller, K.V. Calvin, and A.M. Thomson. 2014. "Meeting the Radiative Forcing Targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways in a World with Agricultural Climate Impacts." Earths Future 2, no. 2:83-98. PNNL-SA-98532. doi:10.1002/2013EF000199
  • Luderer G., V. Krey, K.V. Calvin, J. Merrick, S. Mima, R. Pietzcker, and J. Van Vliet, et al. 2014. "The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: results from the EMF 27 scenarios." Climatic Change 123, no. 3-4:427-441. PNNL-SA-92299. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0924-z
  • McCollum D., N. Bauer, K.V. Calvin, A. Kitous, and K. Riahi. 2014. "Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds." Climatic Change 123, no. 3-4:413-426. PNNL-SA-91984. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0939-5
  • McCollum D., Y. Nagai, K. Riahi, G. Marangoni, K.V. Calvin, R. Pietzcker, and J. Van Vliet, et al. 2014. "ENERGY INVESTMENTS UNDER CLIMATE POLICY: A COMPARISON OF GLOBAL MODELS." Climate Change Economics 4, no. 4:Article No. 1340010. PNNL-SA-93534. doi:10.1142/S2010007813400101
  • Nelson G., D. van der Mensbrugghe, H. Ahammad, E. Blanc, K.V. Calvin, T. Hasegawa, and P. Havlik, et al. 2014. "Agriculture and Climate Change in Global Scenarios: Why Don't the Models Agree." Agricultural Economics 45, no. 1:85-101. PNNL-SA-96188. doi:10.1111/agec.12091
  • Popp A., S.K. Rose, K.V. Calvin, D. Van Vuuren, J.P. Dietrich, M.A. Wise, and E. Stehfest, et al. 2014. "Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options." Climatic Change 123, no. 3-4:495-509. PNNL-SA-92464. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0926-x
  • Robinson S., H. van Meijl, D. Willenbockel, H. Valin, H. Valin, S. Fujimori, and T. Masui, et al. 2014. "Comparing Supply-Side Specifications in Models of Global Agriculture and the Food System." Agricultural Economics 45, no. 1:21-35. PNNL-SA-96182. doi:10.1111/agec.12087
  • Rose S.K., E. Kriegler, R. Bibas, K.V. Calvin, A. Popp, D. van Vuuren, and J. Weyant. 2014. "Bioenergy in Energy Transformation and Climate Management." Climatic Change 123, no. 3-4:477-493. PNNL-SA-95436. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0965-3
  • Thomson A.M., G.P. Kyle, X. Zhang, V. Bandaru, T.O. West, M.A. Wise, and R.C. Izaurralde, et al. 2014. "The contribution of future agricultural trends in the US Midwest to global climate change mitigation." Global Environmental Change 24. PNNL-SA-96190. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.11.019
  • von Lampe M., D. Willenbockel, H. Ahammad, E. Blanc, Y. Cai, K.V. Calvin, and S. Fujimori, et al. 2014. "Why Do Global Long-term Scenarios for Agriculture Differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison." Agricultural Economics 45, no. 1:3-20. PNNL-SA-96185. doi:10.1111/agec.12086
  • Wise M.A., H.C. McJeon, K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, and G.P. Kyle. 2014. "Assessing the interactions among U.S. climate policy, biomass energy, and agricultural trade." The Energy Journal 35, no. Special Issue. PNNL-SA-92917. doi:10.5547/01956574.35.si1.9
  • Wise M.A., J.J. Dooley, P. Luckow, K.V. Calvin, and G.P. Kyle. 2014. "Agriculture, Land Use, Energy and Carbon Emission Impacts of Global Biofuel Mandates to Mid-Century." Applied Energy 114. PNNL-SA-94047. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.08.042
  • Wise M.A., K.V. Calvin, G.P. Kyle, P. Luckow, and J.A. Edmonds. 2014. "Economic and Physical Modeling of Land Use in GCAM 3.0 and an Application to Agricultural Productivity, Land, and Terrestrial Carbon." Climate Change Economics 5, no. 2:Article No. 14500. PNNL-SA-89885. doi:10.1142/S2010007814500031

2013

  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, D. Klein, D. McCollum, M. Tavoni, B. van der Zwaan, and D. Van Vuuren. 2013. "A Multi-Model Analysis of the Regional and Sectoral Roles of Bioenergy in Near- and Long-Term CO2 Emissions." Climate Change Economics 4, no. 4:Article No. 1340014. PNNL-SA-93292. doi:10.1142/S2010007813400149
  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, G.P. Kyle, P.W. Luckow, and A.M. Thomson. 2013. "Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: Initial experiments using GCAM." Climatic Change 117, no. 3:545-560. PNNL-SA-83453. doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y
  • Chaturvedi V., M.I. Hejazi, J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, G.P. Kyle, E. Davies, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2013. Climate policy implications for agricultural water demand. PNNL-22356. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Climate policy implications for agricultural water demand
  • Edmonds J.A., P.W. Luckow, K.V. Calvin, M.A. Wise, J.J. Dooley, G.P. Kyle, and S.H. Kim, et al. 2013. "Can Radiative Forcing Be Limited to 2.6 Wm-2 Without Negative Emissions From Bioenergy AND CO2 Capture and Storage?." Climatic Change 118, no. 1:29-43. PNNL-SA-85858. doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0678-z
  • Eom J., R.H. Moss, J.A. Edmonds, K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.J. Dooley, and S.H. Kim, et al. 2013. "Scenarios of Future Socio-Economics, Energy, Land Use, and Radiative Forcing." In Engineering Response to Climate Change, 2nd Ed., edited by RG Watts. 81-138. Boca Raton, Florida:CRC Press Inc. PNNL-SA-89563.
  • Jones A.D., W.D. Collins, J.A. Edmonds, M.S. Torn, A.C. Janetos, K.V. Calvin, and A.M. Thomson, et al. 2013. "Greenhouse gas policy influences climate via direct effects of land-use change." Journal of Climate 26, no. 11:3657-3670. PNNL-SA-92027. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00377.1
  • Kriegler E., M. Tavoni, T. Aboumahboub, G. Luderer, K.V. Calvin, G. DeMaere, and V. Krey, et al. 2013. "What does the 2°C Target Imply for a Global Climate Agreement in 2020? The LIMITS Study on Durban Action Platform Scenarios." Climate Change Economics 4, no. 4:Article No. 1340008. PNNL-SA-93324. doi:10.1142/S2010007813400083
  • Le Page Y., G. Hurtt, A.M. Thomson, B. Bond-Lamberty, P.L. Patel, M.A. Wise, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2013. "Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances." Environmental Research Letters 8, no. 1:Article No. 015018. PNNL-SA-93321. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015018
  • Le Page Y., G. Hurtt, A.M. Thomson, B. Bond-Lamberty, P.L. Patel, M.A. Wise, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2013. "Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances." Environmental Research Letters 8, no. 1:Article No. 015018. PNWD-SA-9809. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015018
  • Tavoni M., E. Kriegler, T. Aboumahboub, K.V. Calvin, G. DeMaere, M.A. Wise, and D. Klein, et al. 2013. "The distribution of the major economies’ effort in the Durban platform scenarios." Climate Change Economics 4, no. 4:Article No. 1340009. PNNL-SA-93325. doi:10.1142/S2010007813400095
  • van der Zwaan B., H. Rosler, T. Kober, T. Aboumahboub, K.V. Calvin, D. Gernaat, and G. Marangoni, et al. 2013. "A Cross-model Comparison of Global Long-term Technology Diffusion under a 2°C Climate Change Control Target." Climate Change Economics 4, no. 4:Article No. 1340013. PNNL-SA-93323. doi:10.1142/S2010007813400137
  • van Sluisveld M., D. Gernaat, S. Ashina, K.V. Calvin, A. Garg, M. Isaac, and P. Lucas, et al. 2013. "A MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS OF POST-2020 MITIGATION EFFORTS OF FIVE MAJOR ECONOMIES." Climate Change Economics 4, no. 4:Article No. 1340012. PNNL-SA-93320. doi:10.1142/S2010007813400125

2012

  • Calvin K.V., A.A. Fawcett, and K. Jiang. 2012. "COMPARING MODEL RESULTS TO NATIONAL CLIMATE POLICY GOALS: RESULTS FROM THE ASIA MODELING EXERCISE." Energy Economics 34, no. Supplement 3:S306-S315. PNNL-SA-86525. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.008
  • Calvin K.V., L.E. Clarke, V. Krey, G.J. Blanford, K. Jiang, M. Kainuma, and E. Kriegler, et al. 2012. "The Role of Asia in Mitigating Climate Change: Results from the Asia Modeling Exercise." Energy Economics 34, no. Supplement 3:S251-S260. PNNL-SA-88519. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.09.003
  • Edmonds J.A., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, A.C. Janetos, S.H. Kim, M.A. Wise, and H.C. McJeon. 2012. "Integrated Assessment Modeling." In Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology, edited by RA Meyers. 5398-5428. New York, New York:Springer. PNNL-SA-81383.
  • Edmonds J.A., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, G.P. Kyle, and M.A. Wise. 2012. "Energy and technology lessons since Rio." Energy Economics 34, no. Supplement 1:S7-S14. PNNL-SA-86516. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.08.037
  • Eom J., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, S.H. Kim, R. Kopp, and G.P. Kyle, et al. 2012. "Exploring the Future Role of Asia Utilizing A Scenario Matrix Architecture and Shared Socio-Ecosystem Pathways." Energy Economics 34, no. Supplement 3:S325-S338. PNNL-SA-83863. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.012
  • Fisher-Vanden K., K. Schu, I. Sue Wing, and K.V. Calvin. 2012. "Decomposing the Impact of Alternative Technology Sets on Future Carbon Emissions Growth." Energy Economics 34, no. Supplement 3:S359-S365. PNWD-SA-9890. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.07.021

2011

  • Dooley J.J., and K.V. Calvin. 2011. "Temporal and Spatial Deployment of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies across the Representative Concentration Pathways." In 10th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, September 19-23, 2010, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Energy Procedia, edited by J Gale, C Hendriks and W Turkenberg, 4, 5845-5852. London:Elsevier. PNNL-SA-74738. doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2011.02.583
  • Kyle G.P., P. Luckow, K.V. Calvin, W.R. Emanuel, M. Nathan, and Y. Zhou. 2011. GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land Use: Data Sources and Methods. PNNL-21025. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land Use: Data Sources and Methods
  • Meinshausen M., S.J. Smith, K.V. Calvin, J.S. Daniel, M. Kainuma, J. Lamarque, and K. Matsumoto, et al. 2011. "The RCP Greenhouse Gas Concentrations and their Extensions from 1765 to 2300." Climatic Change 109, no. 1-2:213-241. PNNL-SA-74869. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z
  • Thomson A.M., K.V. Calvin, S.J. Smith, G.P. Kyle, A.C. Volke, P.L. Patel, and S. Delgado Arias, et al. 2011. "RCP4.5: A Pathway for Stabilization of Radiative Forcing by 2100." Climatic Change 109, no. 1-2:77-94. PNNL-SA-75003. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0151-4

2010

  • Calvin K.V., and A.M. Thomson. 2010. Impact of Heavy Duty Vehicle Emissions Reductions on Global Climate. PNNL-19661. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Impact of Heavy Duty Vehicle Emissions Reductions on Global Climate
  • Calvin K.V., J.A. Edmonds, and M.A. Wise. 2010. Bioenergy and the importance of land use policy in a carbon-constrained world. PNNL-19462. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Bioenergy and the importance of land use policy in a carbon-constrained world
  • Clarke L.E., K.V. Calvin, J.A. Edmonds, G.P. Kyle, and M.A. Wise. 2010. "When Technology and Climate Policy Meet: Energy Technology in an International Policy Context." In Post-Kyoto International Climate Policy Implementing Architectures for Agreement, edited by JE Aldy and RN Stavins. 786-821. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press. PNNL-SA-63738.
  • Fawcett A.A., K.V. Calvin, F. De La Chesnaye, J.M. Reilly, and J. Weyant. 2010. "Overview of EMF 22 U.S. Transition Scenarios." Energy Economics 31, no. 2:S198-S211. PNNL-SA-69256.
  • Thomson A.M., K.V. Calvin, L. Chini, L. Chini, G. Hurtt, J.A. Edmonds, and B. Bond-Lamberty, et al. 2010. "Climate mitigation and the future of tropical landscapes." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107, no. 46:19633-19638. PNNL-SA-68407.
  • Van Vuuren D., J.A. Edmonds, S.J. Smith, K.V. Calvin, J.F. Karas, M. Kainuma, and N. Nakicenovic, et al. 2010. "What do near-term observations tell us about long-term developments in greenhouse gas emissions?." Climatic Change 103, no. 3-4:635-642. PNNL-SA-74743. doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9940-4

2009

  • Calvin K.V., J.A. Edmonds, B. Bond-Lamberty, L.E. Clarke, S.H. Kim, G.P. Kyle, and S.J. Smith, et al. 2009. "2.6: Limiting Climate Change to 450 ppm CO2 Equivalent in the 21st Century." Energy Economics 31, no. 2:S107-S120. PNNL-SA-66911.
  • Calvin K.V., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, B. Bond-Lamberty, S.H. Kim, M.A. Wise, and A.M. Thomson, et al. 2009. Land-use Leakage. PNNL-18585. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. Land-use Leakage
  • Calvin K.V., P.L. Patel, A.A. Fawcett, L.E. Clarke, K. Fisher-Vanden, J.A. Edmonds, and S.H. Kim, et al. 2009. "The Distribution and Magnitude of Emissions Mitigation Costs in Climate Stabilization Under Less Than Perfect International Cooperation: SGM Results." Energy Economics 31, no. 2:S187-S197. PNNL-SA-67079.
  • Kyle G.P., L.E. Clarke, G. Pugh, M.A. Wise, K.V. Calvin, J.A. Edmonds, and S.H. Kim. 2009. "The Value of Advanced Technology in Meeting 2050 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets in the United States." Energy Economics 31, no. 2:S254-S267. PNNL-SA-68592.
  • Wise M.A., K.V. Calvin, A.M. Thomson, L.E. Clarke, B. Bond-Lamberty, R.D. Sands, and S.J. Smith, et al. 2009. "Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy." Science 324, no. 5931:1183-1186. PNNL-SA-63505.

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