Ensembles of 20–25 members, notably smaller than traditional large ensembles, can accurately represent changes in extremes of temperature and precipitation.

Researchers developed a new model to understand the initiation of summer-time mesoscale convective systems over the central United States.

Implementing and evaluating a new radiative transfer scheme that accounts for various topographic effects on solar radiation in an Earth system model.

Better representing cloud microphysics can Reduce model bias in simulating mesoscale convective system precipitation.

New analysis demonstrates that the Madden-Julian Oscillation can influence tropical cyclones in the Pacific through both the atmosphere and the ocean.