September 18, 2009
Report

Low Probability Tail Event Analysis and Mitigation in BPA Control Area: Task 2 Report

Abstract

Task report detailing low probability tail event analysis and mitigation in BPA control area. Tail event refers to the situation in a power system when unfavorable forecast errors of load and wind are superposed onto fast load and wind ramps, or non-wind generators falling short of scheduled output, causing the imbalance between generation and load to become very significant.

Revised: November 4, 2009 | Published: September 18, 2009

Citation

Lu S., Y.V. Makarov, C.A. McKinstry, A.J. Brothers, and S. Jin. 2009. Low Probability Tail Event Analysis and Mitigation in BPA Control Area: Task 2 Report Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.