We consider a general framework to predict the development of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in a lake driven by uncertain parameters. To quantify the concentration uncertainty of those algae groups via their joint probabilistic density function (PDF), we explore an approach based on the Fokker-Planck equation. Our result is presented in an example where abundant nutrients contribute to the proliferation of cyanobacteria and other minor algae groups.
Revised: February 25, 2016 |
Published: January 3, 2013
Citation
Wang P., D.M. Tartakovsky, and A.M. Tartakovsky. 2013.Stochastic Forecasting of Algae Blooms in Lakes. In Modelling and Simulation in Fluid Dynamics in Porous Media. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, edited by JA Ferreira, et al. 99-108. New York, New York:Springer.PNNL-SA-92718.