Research, analysis and commnetary since the release of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios has suggested a number of areas, e.g. rates of economic growth, downscaling and scenario likelihood, where additional research would make the next set of scenarios of greater use and increased credibility. This essary reviews the work on the areas mentioned above and makes suggestions about possible ways to improve the next set of climate scenarios, to be developed by the research community without a specific IPCC terms of reference to guide the work.
Revised: May 28, 2010 |
Published: June 1, 2009
Citation
Pitcher H.M. 2009.The Future of Scenarios: Issues in Developing New Climate Change Scenarios.Environmental Research Letters 4, no. 2:Aarticle No. 025002.PNNL-17824.