PNNL

Abstract

Fission gas release models used in FRAPCON and FAST are based on equations that describe the physical transport phenomena that control release from the fuel pellet to the rod void volume of fission gas produced during irradiation. Although these models are physically based, many of the parameters that control the release such as the impact of burnup on diffusion and bubble formation and saturation are critical to the accurate prediction of fission gas release, but cannot be measured in any quantitative way. To overcome this problem, these parameters have been empirically derived to provide a best fit to the available data that includes rod puncture data and electron probe microanalysis (EMPA) and X-ray fluorescence (XRF) data of radial location of residual gas within the pellet. In general, a heuristic approach for deriving these parameters via practical implementation of expert analyses on just a few dependent variables has been shown to perform quite well in most situations. In this paper, we present an approach for applying machine learning to expedite model development. This approach is based on developing a deep artificial neural network which describes FRAPCON’s fission gas release models, and optimizes parameters by a differential evaluation algorithm. This approach allows us to quickly and accurately tune physical models based on expert judgment, and works as a human-in-the-loop approach, to assist the modeler in identifying and addressing regions of high uncertainty in a multi-parameter space. Results of the updated fission gas release model will be shown for all the FAST assessment data.