PNNL

Abstract

Recent glass formulation and melter testing data have suggested that significant increases in waste loading in high-level waste (HLW) and low-activity waste (LAW) glasses are possible over current system planning estimates. In 2013 a set of models and constraints based on these data were developed and published (Vienna et al. 2013). Since that report roughly 200 additional glasses have been tested and lessons were learned in the application of the preliminary set of models and constraints. This report summarizes the advancements in glass formulation and glass property estimation since Vienna et al. 2013 (using the additional data and lessons learned) and updates the recommended set of enhanced glass property-composition models and constraints for use in River Protection Project (RPP) planning. The combined data (although limited in some cases) were evaluated to determine a set of constraints and models that could be used to estimate the maximum loading of specific waste compositions in glass. It is recommended that these models and constraints be used to estimate the likely HLW and LAW glass masses that would result if the current glass formulation studies are successfully completed. It is recognized that some of the models are preliminary in nature and will change in the coming years. In addition, the models do not currently address the prediction uncertainties that would be required before they could be used in plant operations. The models and constraints are only meant to give an indication of rough glass masses and are not intended to be used in quality-affecting activities or decisions. A current research program is in place to develop the data, models, and uncertainty descriptions for that purpose. A fundamental tenet underlying the research reported in this and the previous document is the attempt to be less conservative, but still realistic, than previous studies when developing constraints for the estimation of glass to be produced by implementing current enhanced glass formulation efforts. The less conservative approach documented herein should allow for the estimate of glass masses that may be realized if the current efforts in enhanced glass formulations are completed over the coming years, and are as successful as early indications suggest they may be. Because of this approach, there is an unquantifiable uncertainty in the ultimate glass mass projections due to model prediction uncertainties that must be considered, along with other system uncertainties, such as waste compositions and amounts to be immobilized, split factors between LAW and HLW, etc. A plan to estimate the impact of those uncertainties has been developed and a future update will document the results.