Monday, June 26, 2023, 10:00 a.m. PT (1:00 p.m. ET)
A core element of the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory’s (PNNL’s) GODEEEP initiative is to advance the science of long-term hourly load projections under decarbonization, considering climate change, electrification, and their interactions. In this webinar, we will discuss the novel methods we use to generate hourly electricity load projections that can be used to assess grid reliability and resilience under decarbonization and climate change. These projections are designed for and informed by long-term grid planning agencies seeking to understand how decarbonization will impact supply and demand dynamics on 10- to 30-year time horizons. Projections are made for two scenarios: Business-As-Usual and NetZero. The NetZero scenario achieves a clean energy grid by 2035 and a fully net-zero economy by 2050. Our projections utilize an open-source multi-model approach and reflect internal consistency between future climate, decarbonization’s impacts on electrification across industries, and socioeconomic change. We use PNNL’s flagship Global Change Analysis Model to create annual state-level electricity consumption projections, which are then downscaled to hourly demands using PNNL’s Total Electricity Loads model. The hourly load shapes are augmented by our new transportation electricity demand model, which simulates light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicle charging loads resulting from vehicle electrification. The webinar will cover how each of the three models works together by design and how the underlying data produced by GODEEEP can be accessed and utilized by our industry partners.
For more information about the webinars in this series, visit the GODEEEP webinar event page.
PNNL experts develop and deploy tools to make informed decisions that consider the pressures of climate change, an increasing global population, and growing water and energy demands. Stay connected and sign up for the PNNL Grid-Resilience-Decarbonization newsletter.