PNNL

Abstract

This report contains summarized progress on the construction, validation, and calibration of a hydrodynamic and water temperature model, and individual-based sturgeon model, for the Transboundary Reach of the Columbia River and Lake Roosevelt. A 1-dimensional hydrodynamic and water temperature model, the Modular Aquatic Simulation System in 1-dimension (MASS1), was constructed using existing bathymetry data from the U.S.-Canada international border to Grand Coulee Dam, and validated using velocity, temperature, and water elevation data collected by staff of the CTCR during three distinct hydrodynamic periods occurring in early spring, late spring, and summer in the study area. Parameters of MASS1 were then calibrated so that model simulations matched empirical data of water surface elevations collected in 2016. Several years of MASS1 data were archived and are available for use with the sturgeon IBM: 1975–2001, 2004, 2005, 2007–2015, and April–August 2016. An individual-based simulation model was concomitantly constructed to simulate four of the early life stages of white sturgeon: spawning, embryo incubation, free embryos, and early larvae. Submodels for each of the four life stages contain mathematical algorithms that primarily describe the growth, development, and movement of individuals based on outputs from MASS1. Sturgeon simulations were then run for two historical years where limited recruitment may have occurred (1997 and 2011) and two years in which recruitment likely did not occur (2004 and 2005).