March 19, 2026
Journal Article

Convective Biases in the US DOE Global Storm-Resolving Model: Insights from Regionally Refined Simulations During the CACTI Campaign

Abstract

Accurately simulating convective processes in complex terrain remains a critical challenge for global storm-resolving models (GSRMs). This study systematically evaluates moist convective biases in the Regionally Refined Mesh configuration of the U.S. Department of Energy Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (RRM-SCREAM) using comprehensive observations and large-eddy simulations from the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) campaign in the mountainous area of central Argentina. Comparisons of simulations with high-resolution observations and reanalysis data indicate that RRM-SCREAM effectively captures large-scale meteorological patterns, including regional atmospheric gradients and diurnal variability. However, RRM-SCREAM disproportionately produces smaller precipitation clusters referred to as “popcorn convection,” and exaggerated rainfall intensities compared to observations and reference models. Detailed examination of a representative orographic shallow-to-deep convective transition case shows that RRM-SCREAM delays initial shallow convection growth due to lower-tropospheric dryness and sustained convective inhibition, but once triggered, deep convection becomes overly vigorous with excessively strong vertical velocities and elevated cloud ice content, linked to a thermodynamic structure characterized by suppressed low-level moistening and excessive upper-level moisture retention. Our results highlight specific deficiencies in model representation of convective vertical velocity, cloud microphysical processes, and convective precipitation organization within RRM-SCREAM. Addressing these biases is essential to improving predictions of convective clouds and precipitation in the global high-resolution atmospheric models.

Published: March 19, 2026

Citation

Su T., Y. Zhang, H. Ma, A.C. Varble, and P. Bogenschutz. 2026. Convective Biases in the US DOE Global Storm-Resolving Model: Insights from Regionally Refined Simulations During the CACTI Campaign. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 131, no. 5:e2025JD045449. PNNL-SA-216567. doi:10.1029/2025JD045449