PNNL

Abstract

A rapid and deep decarbonization of power supply worldwide is a pivotal element of any strategy for limiting global warming to well below 2°C. Previous studies have shown substantial flexibility in technology choice for achieving near carbon-free electricity supply. Here we combine scenarios from integrated assessment models with forward-looking life-cycle assessment to explore how alternative power sector decarbonization strategies compare on the system level in terms of non-climate environmental impacts. While all strategies yield major environmental co-benefits, we find that the scale of co-benefits as well as profiles of adverse side-effects depend strongly on technology choice. Mitigation scenarios focusing on wind and solar power are more effective in reducing human health impacts compared to those focusing on nuclear and CCS, while inducing a more pronounced shift away from fossil toward mineral resource depletion. Conversely, an increase in land requirements, chiefly for bioenergy, exacerbates non-climate ecosystem damage from power supply in all decarbonization scenarios.