PNNL

Page Kyle is an Earth scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), a partnership between the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and the University of Maryland. His career at PNNL started in 2006, since which time he has played a key role in developing the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), as well as writing over 100 peer-reviewed publications, which earned him Clarivate's Highly Cited Researcher awards from 2021 through 2024. His research spans a variety of disciplines related to human and Earth system management, including energy, agriculture and land use, hydrology, biogeochemistry, and atmospheric science, among others. Prior to joining PNNL, he received a BA from Dartmouth College in Earth Sciences and Economics and a MS in ecology from Utah State University.

• Economic and physical modeling of human and Earth systems

• Master of Science, Ecology, Utah State University
• Bachelor of Arts, Enviro & Earth Science, Dartmouth College

• American Geophysical Union

• PNNL Earth and Biological Sciences Directorate, BESTies – First Proposal Win
• Clarivate Analytics, Highly Cited Researchers (top 1% of scientists in terms of cumulative impact, by discipline), 2021 recipient for Cross-Field Category
• Clarivate Analytics, Highly Cited Researchers, 2020 recipient for Cross-Field Category
• Reuters Hot List, #184 (ranked list of 1000 most influential climate scientists globally)

2025

Zhao, X., Chepeliev, M., Escobar, N. et al. Traceable and Scalable Food Balance Sheets from Agricultural Commodity Supply and Utilization Accounts (2010–2022). Sci Data 12, 834 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05137-y

2024

Wolfram, P., P. O'Rourke, H. McJeon, and P. Kyle, Helping the climate by replacing liquefied natural gas with liquefied hydrogen or ammonia?, 2024 Environ. Res. Lett. 19 054005DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ad376f

Speizer, S., Fuhrman, J., Aldrete Lopez, L. et al. Integrated assessment modeling of a zero-emissions global transportation sector. Nat Commun 15, 4439 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48424-9

Qiu, Y., G. Iyer, J. Fuhrman, M. Hejazi, P. Kamboj, and P. Kyle, The role and deployment timing of direct air capture in Saudi Arabia's net-zero transition, 2024 Environ. Res. Lett. 19 064042DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ad4a8f

Dunn, J. J., K. Greene, E. Vasquez-Arroyo, M. Awais, A. Gomez-Sanabria, P. Kyle, R. R. Palatnik, R. Schaeffer, P. Zhou, B. Aissaoui, and E. De Cian, Toward Enhancing Wastewater Treatment with Resource Recovery in Integrated Assessment and Computable General Equilibrium Models, Environmental Science & Technology Letters 2024 11 (7), 654-663, DOI: 10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00280

Liu, H., J. Ampah, C. Jin et al. Sector-specific and carbon removal targets could limit adverse impacts of climate change and promote sustainability, 07 November 2024, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5045485/v1] 

2023

Wolfram, P., P. Kyle, X. Zhang, X. et al. Author Correction: Using ammonia as a shipping fuel could disturb the nitrogen cycle. Nat Energy 8, 548 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01243-6

Ahsan, H., Z. Khan, A. Snyder, P. Kyle, and C. Vernon. (2023). osiris: An R package to process climate impacts on agricultural yields for the Global Change Analysis Model. Journal of Open Source Software, 8(85), 5226, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.05226

Speizer, S., J. Fuhrman, L. Aldrete et al. A zero-emissions global transportation sector: Advanced technologies and their energy and environmental implications, 27 July 2023, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2921936/v1]

Kyle, P., M. Ollenburger, X. Zhang, H. Niazi, S. Durga, and Y. Ou. (2023). Assessing multi-dimensional impacts of achieving sustainability goals by projecting the sustainable agriculture matrix into the future. Earth's Future, 11, e2022EF003323.  https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003323

O’Rourke, P., B. K. Mignone, P. Kyle, B. R. Chapman, J. Fuhrman, P. Wolfram, and H. McJeon, Supply and Demand Drivers of Global Hydrogen Deployment in the Transition toward a Decarbonized Energy System, Environmental Science & Technology 2023 57 (48), 19508-19518, DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.3c03751

2022

Sinha, E., K. V. Calvin, P. G. Kyle, M. I. Hejazi, S. T. Waldhoff, M. Huang, S. Vishwakarma, and X. Zhang, Implication of imposing fertilizer limitations on energy, agriculture, and land systems, Journal of Environmental Management, Volume 305, 2022, 114391, ISSN 0301-4797, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.114391.

Plevin, R. J., J. Jones, P. Kyle, A. W. Levy, M. J. Shell, and D. J. Tanner, Choices in land representation materially affect modeled biofuel carbon intensity estimates, Journal of Cleaner Production, Volume 349, 2022, 131477, ISSN 0959-6526, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.131477.

Wolfram, P., P. Kyle, J. Fuhrmann et al. The value of hydrogen for global climate change mitigation, 23 September 2022, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2074134/v1]

Ollenburger, M., P. Kyle, and X. Zhang. Uncertainties in estimating global potential yields and their impacts for long-term modeling. Food Sec. 14, 1177–1190 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-021-01228-x

Yeh, S. et al. Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach, 2022 Prog. Energy 4 043002. DOI 10.1088/2516-1083/ac86b5

Wolfram, P., P. Kyle, X. Zhang, X. et al. Using ammonia as a shipping fuel could disturb the nitrogen cycle. Nat Energy 7, 1112–1114 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-022-01124-4

2021

Rottoli, M., A. Dirnaichner, P. Kyle, P. et al. Coupling a Detailed Transport Model to the Integrated Assessment Model REMIND. Environ Model Assess 26, 891–909 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-021-09760-y

Ou, Y., C. Roney, C., J. Alsalam, et al. Deep mitigation of CO2 and non-CO2 greenhouse gases toward 1.5 °C and 2 °C futures. Nat Commun 12, 6245 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26509-z

Kyle, P., M. Hejazi, S. Kim, P. Patel, N. Graham, and Y. Liu et al. Assessing the future of global energy-for-water, 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 024031, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/abd8a9

2020

Hasegawa, T., S. Fujimori, P. Havlík, P. et al. Reply to: An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation. Nat. Clim. Chang. 10, 420–421 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0767-3

2019

Bond-Lamberty, B., K. R. Dorheim, Y. Cui, R. L. Horowitz, A. C. Snyder, K. V. Calvin, and L. Feng, et al. 2019. gcamdata: An R Package for Preparation, Synthesis, and Tracking of Input Data for the GCAM Integrated Human-Earth Systems Model. Journal of Open Research Software 7, no. 1:Article No. 6. PNNL-SA-135553. doi:10.5334/jors.232

Calvin, K. V., P. L. Patel, L. E. Clarke, G. R. Asrar, B. Bond-Lamberty, R. Cui, and A. Di Vittorio, et al. 2019. GCAM v5.1: Representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems. Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 2:677-698. PNNL-SA-137098. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-677-2019

Santos Da Silva, S., F. R. Miralles-Wilhelm, R. Muñoz Castillo, L. E. Clarke, C. J. Braun, A. Delgado, and J. A. Edmonds, et al. 2019. The Paris pledges and the energy-water-land nexus in Latin America: Exploring implications of greenhouse gas emission reductions. PLoS One 14, no. 4:e0215013. PNNL-SA-136697. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0215013

Stehfest, E., W. Van Zeist, H. Valin, H. Valin, P. Havlik, A. Popp, and G. P. Kyle, et al. 2019. "Key determinants of global land-use projections." Nature Communications 10, no. 1:2166. PNNL-ACT-SA-10368. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-09945-w

Turner, S., M. I. Hejazi, K. V. Calvin, G. P. Kyle, and S. H. Kim. 2019. A pathway of global food supply adaptation in a world with increasingly constrained groundwater. Science of the Total Environment 673. PNNL-SA-141009. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.070

Turner, S., M. I. Hejazi, C. Yonkofski, S. H. Kim, and G. P. Kyle. 2019. Influence of groundwater extraction costs and resource depletion limits on simulated global nonrenewable water withdrawals over the twenty-first century. Earth's Future 7, no. 2:123-135. PNNL-SA-129871. doi:10.1029/2018EF001105

2018

Clarke, L. E., J. Eom, E. L. Hodson, R. L. Horowitz, G. P. Kyle, R. P. Link, and B. Mignone, et al. 2018. Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures. Energy Economics 72: 667-677.

Graham, N. T., E. G. R. Davies, M. I. Hejazi, K. Calvin, S. H. Kim, L. Helinski, F. R. Miralles-Wilhelm, L. Clarke, P. Kyle, P. Patel, M. A. Wise, and C. R. Vernon. 2018. Water sector assumptions for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways in an integrated modeling framework. Water Resources Research 54. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023452

Hasegawa, T., S. Fujimori, P. Havlik, H. Valin, H. Valin, B. Bodirsky, J. Doelman, T. Fellman, G.P, Kyle, J. Levin-Koopman, H. Lotze-Campenn, D. Mason d’Croz, Y. Ochi, I. Perez-Dominguez, E. Stehfest, A. Tabeau, K. Takahashi, J. Takakura, H. van Meijl, W. Van Zeist, and P. Witzke. 2018. Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy. Nature Climate Change 8(8):699-703.

Paladugula, A., N. Kholod, V. Chaturvedi, P. Ghosh, S. Pal, L. E. Clarke, M. Evans, P. Kyle, P.N. Koti, K. Parikh, S. Qamar, and S. A. Wilson. 2018. A multi-model assessment of energy and emissions for India’s transport sector through 2050. Energy Policy 116: 10-18.

Yu, S., M. Evans, G. P. Kyle, L. D. Vu, Q. Tan, A. Gupta, and P. L. Patel. 2018. Implementing Nationally Determined Contributions: building energy policies in India’s mitigation strategy. Environmental Research Letters 13(3): 034034.

2017

Alexander, P., R. Prestele, P. H. Verburg, A. Arneth, C. Baranzelli, F. Batista e Silva, V. Brown, A. Butler, K. Calvin, N. Dendoncker, J. C. Doelman, R. Dunford, K. Engström, D. Eitelberg, S. Fujimori, P.A. Harrison, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, S. Holzhauer, F. Humpenöder, C. Jacobs-Crisioni, A. K. Jain, T. Krisztin, P. Kyle, C. Lavalle, T. Lenton, J. Liu, P. Meiyappan, A. Popp, T. Powell, R. D. Sands, R. Schaldach, E. Stehfest, J. Steinbuks, A. Tabeau, H. van Meijl, M.A. Wise, and M. D. A. Rounsevell. 2016. Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biology 23(2):767-781.

Bauer, N., K. Calvin, J. Emmerling, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, J. Hilaire, J. Eom, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, H. Sytze de Boer, M. van den Berg, S. Carrara, V. Daioglou, L. Drouet, J. E. Edmonds, D. Gernaat, P. Havlik, N. Johnson, D. Klein, P. Kyle, G. Marangoni, T. Masui, R. C. Pietzcker, M. Strubegger, M. Wise, K. Riahi, and D.P . van Vuuren. 2016. Shared socio-economic pathways of the energy sector – quantifying the narratives. Global Environmental Change 42:316-330.

Calvin, K., M. Wise, P. Kyle, L. Clarke, and J. Edmonds. 2017. A hindcast experiment using the GCAM 3.0 agriculture and land use module. Climate Change Economics 08: 175005.

Calvin, K., B. Bond-Lamberty, L. Clarke, J. Edmonds, J. Eom, C. Hartin, S. Kim, P. Kyle, R. Link, R. Moss, H. McJeon, P. Patel, S. J. Smith, S. Waldhoff, and M. Wise. 2016. The SSP4: a world of deepening inequality. Global Environmental Change 42:284-296.

Edelenbosch, O. Y., K. Kermeli, W. Crijns-Graus, E. Worrell, R. Bibas, B. Fais, S. Fujimori, G. P. Kyle, F. Sano, and D. Van Vuuren. 2017. Comparing projections of industrial energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in long-term energy models. Energy 122:701–710.

Edelenbosch, O., D. McCollum, D. van Vuuren, C. Bertram, S. Carrara, H. Daly, S. Fujimori, A. Kitous, P. Kyle, E. O'Broin, K. Karkatsoulis, and F. Sano. 2016. Decomposing passenger transport futures: Comparing results of global integrated assessment models. Transportation Research Part D. Transport and Environment 55: 281-293.

Iyer, G. C., C. M. Ledna, L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, H. C. McJeon, G. P. Kyle, and J. Williams. 2017. Measuring progress from nationally determined contributions to mid-century strategies. Nature Climate Change 7: 871-874. doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0005-9.

Muratori, M., C. M. Ledna, H.C . McJeon, G. P. Kyle, P. L. Patel, S. H. Kim, M. A. Wise, H. Kheshgi, L. E. Clarke, and J.A . Edmonds. 2017.  Cost of power or power of cost: a U.S. modeling perspective. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77:861-874.

Muratori, M., S. J. Smith, G. P. Kyle, R. P. Link, B. K. Mignone, and H. Kheshgi.  2017.  Role of the freight sector in future climate change mitigation scenarios. Environmental Science & Technology 51(6):3526–3533.

Popp, A., K. Calvin, S. Fujimori, P. Havlik, F. Humpenoder, E. Stehfest, B. L. Bodirsky, J. P. Dietrich, J. C. Doelmann, M. Gusti, T. Hasegawa, P. Kyle, M. Obersteiner, A. Tabeau, K. Takahashi, H. Valin, S. Waldhoff, I. Weindl, and D. P. van Vuuren. 2017. Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change 42: 331-345.

Wise, M. A., G. P. Kyle, and M. Muratori.  2017.  Biojet fuels and emissions mitigation in aviation: an integrated assessment modeling analysis.  Transportation Research Part D - Transport and Environment 52(A): 244–253.

Yeh, S., G. S. Mishra, L. M. Fulton, G. P. Kyle, D. McCollum, J. Miller, P. Cazzola, and J. Teter. 2017.  Detailed assessment of international transport-energy models’ structures and projections.  Transportation Research Part D - Transport and Environment 55: 294-309. doi:10.1016/j.trd.2016.11.001

Yu, S., Q. Tan, M. Evans, G. P. Kyle, L. D. Vu, and P. L. Patel.  2017.  Improving building energy efficiency in India: state-level analysis of building energy efficiency policies. Energy Policy 110: 331-341.

2016

Calvin, K., M. Wise, P. Luckow, P. Kyle, L. E. Clarke, and J. A. Edmonds. 2016. Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions. Climatic Change 136: 57-68.

Di Vittorio, A. P. Kyle, and W. D. Collins. 2016. What are the effects of Agro-Ecological Zones and land use region boundaries on land resource projection using the Global Change Assessment Model? Environmental Modelling & Software 85:246-265.

Gao, J., A. Zhang, S. K. Lam, X. Zhang, A. M. Thomson, E. Lin, K. Jiang, L. Clarke, J. Edmonds, P. Kyle, S. Yu, Y. Zhou, and S. Zhou. 2016. An integrated assessment of the potential of agricultural and forestry residues for energy production in China. Global Change Biology Bioenergy 8: 880-893.

Kim, S., M. Hejazi, L. Liu, K. Calvin, L. Clarke, J. Edmonds, P. Kyle, P. Patel, M. Wise, and E. Davies. 2016. Balancing global water availability and use at basin scale in an integrated assessment model. Climatic Change 136:217-231.

Kyle, P., N. Johnson, E. Davies, D. Bijl, I. Mouratiadou, M. Bevione, L. Drouet, S. Fujimori, Y. Liu, and M. Hejazi. 2016. Setting the system boundaries of “energy for water” for integrated modeling. Environmental Science & Technology 50: 8930–8931.

Liu, Y., M. Hejazi, P. Kyle, S. Kim, E. Davies, D. Miralles, A. Teuling, Y. He, and D. Niyogi. 2016. Global and regional evaluation of energy for water. Environmental Science & Technology 50: 9736-9745.

Muratori, M., M. Wise, K. Calvin, P. Kyle, and J. Edmonds. 2016. Global economic consequences of deploying bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS).  Environmental Research Letters 11: 095004.

Prestele, R., P. Alexander, M. Rounsevell, A. Arneth, K. Calvin, J. Doelman, D. Eitelberg, K. Engstrom, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, F. Humpenoder, A. Jain, T. Krisztin, P. Kyle, P. Meiyappan, A. Popp, R. Sands, R. Schaldach, J. Schungel, E. Stehfest, A. Tabeau, H. van Meijl, J. Van Vliet, and P. Verburg. 2016.  Hotspots of uncertainty in land use and land cover change projections: a global scale model comparison. Global Change Biology 22: 3967-3983.

Schafer, A., G. P. Kyle, and R. Pietzcker. 2016. Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models: an application for the transportation sector. Climatic Change, 136: 141-154.

Scott, M. J., D. S. Daly, M. Hejazi, P. Kyle, L. Liu, H. McJeon, A. Mundra, P. Patel, J.S. Rice, and N. Voisin. 2016. Sensitivity of future U.S. water shortages to socioeconomic and climate drivers: a case study in Georgia using an integrated human-Earth system modeling framework. Climatic Change 136: 233-246.

Smith, S. J., S. Rao, K. Riahi, D. van Vuuren, K. V. Calvin, and G. P. Kyle. 2016. Future aerosol emissions: a multi-model comparison. Climatic Change 138: 13-24.

Talati, S. K., H. Zhai, G. P. Kyle, M. G. Morgan, P. L. Patel, and L. Liu.  2016. Consumptive water use from electricity generation in the Southwest under alternative climate, technology and policy futures. Environmental Science & Technology 50(22):12095-12104.

2015

Chaturvedi, V., M. Hejazi, J. Edmonds, L. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, and M. Wise. Climate mitigation policy implications for global irrigation water demand. Mitigation and Adaptations Strategies for Global Change 20: 389-407.

Hejazi, M., N. Voisin, L. Liu, L. M. Bramer, D. C. Fortin, J. E. Hathaway, M. Huang, P. Kyle, L. R. Leung, H. Li, Y. Liu, P. L. Patel, T. C. Pulsipher, J. S. Rice, T. K. Tesfa, C. R. Vernon, and Y. Zhou. 2015. 21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating. Proceedings of the National Academy of the United States of America 112: 10635-10640.

Iyer, G., J. A. Edmonds, A. A. Fawcett, N. E. Hultman, J. Alsalam, G. R. Asrar, J. V. Calvin, L. E. Clarke, J. Creason,M. Jeong, P. Kyle, J. McFarland, A. Mundra, P. Patel, W. Shi, and H. C. McJeon. 2015. The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 C. Environmental Research Letters 10: 125002.

Kyle, P., A. Thomson, M. Wise, and X. Zhang. 2015. Assessment of the importance of spatial scale in long-term land use modeling of the Midwestern United States. Environmental Modelling & Software 72: 261-271.

Liu, L., M. Hejazi, P. Patel, P. Kyle, E. Davies, Y. Zhou, L. Clarke, and J. Edmonds. 2015. Water demands for electricity generation in the U.S.: modeling different scenarios for the water-energy nexus. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 94: 318-334.

McFarland, J., Y. Zhou, L. Clarke, P. Sullivan, J. Colman, W.S. Jaglom, M. Colley, P. Patel, J. Eom, S.H. Kim, G.P. Kyle, P. Schultz, B. Venkatesh, J. Haydel, C. Mack, and J. Creason. 2015. Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison. Climatic Change 131: 111-125.

Wolf, J., T. O. West, Y. Le Page, G. P. Kyle, X. Zhang, G. J. Collatz, and M. L. Imhoff. 2015. Biogenic carbon fluxes from global agricultural production and consumption. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29: 1617-1639.

Yin, X., W. Chen, J. Eom, L. E. Clarke, S. H. Kim, P. L. Patel, S. Yu, and G. P. Kyle. 2015. China’s transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective. Energy Policy 82: 233-248.

2014

Calvin, K. V., M. A. Wise, P. Kyle, P. L. Patel, L. E. Clarke, and J. A. Edmonds. 2014. Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets. Climatic Change 123: 691-704

Chaturvedi, V., L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, K. V. Calvin, and G. P. Kyle. 2014. Capital investment requirements for greenhouse gas emissions mitigation in power generation on near term to century time scales and global to regional spatial scales. Energy Economics 46: 267-278.

Hejazi, M., J. Edmonds, L. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, M. Wise, P. Patel, J. Eom, K. Calvin, R. Moss, and S. Kim. 2014. Long-term global water projections using six socioeconomic scenarios in an integrated assessment modeling framework. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 81: 205-226.

Hejazi, M., J. Edmonds, L. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, M. Wise, P. Patel, J. Eom, and K. Calvin. 2014. Integrated assessment of global water scarcity over the 21st century under multiple climate change mitigation policies. Hydrological and Earth System Sciences 18: 2859-2883.

Kyle, P., C. Müller, K. Calvin, and A. Thomson. 2014. Meeting the radiative forcing targets of the representative concentration pathways in a world with agricultural climate impacts. Earth’s Future 2, 83-98.

Lotze-Campen, H., M. von Lampe, P. Kyle, S. Fujimori, P. Havlík, H. v. Meijl, T. Hasegawa, A. Popp, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, H. Valin, D. Willenbockel, and M. Wise. 2014. Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison. Agricultural Economics 45: 103-116.

Nelson, G. C., H. Valin, R. D. Sands, P. Havlik, H. Ahammad, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, S. Fujimori, E. Heyhoe, P. Kyle, M. von Lampe, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason d'Croz, H. van Meijl, D. van der Mensbrugghe, C. Müller, A. Popp, R. Robertson, S. Robinson, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, and D. Willenbockel. 2014. Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111: 3274-3279.

Nelson, G., D. van der Mensbrugghe, E. Blanc, K.V. Calvin, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, P. Kyle, H. Lotze-Campen, M. von Lampe, D. Mason d'Croz, H. van Meijl, C. Müller, J.M. Reilly, R. Robertson, R. Sands, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, K. Takahashi, and H. Valin. 2013.  Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree. Agricultural Economics 45: 85-101.

Pietzcker, R., T. Longden, W. Chen, E. Kriegler, P. Kyle, and G. Luderer. 2014. Long-term transport energy demand and climate policy: alternative visions of transport decarbonization in energy economy models. Energy 64: 95-108.

Popp, A., S. K. Rose, K. V. Calvin, D. P. van Vuuren, J. P Dietrich, M. A. Wise, E. Stehfest, F. Humpenoder, G. P. Kyle, J. Van Vliet, N. Bauer, H. Lotze-Campenn, D. Klein, and E. Kriegler. 2014. Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options. Climatic Change 123: 495-509.

Schmitz, C., H. van Meijl, P. Kyle, G. C. Nelson, S. Fujimori, A. Gurgel, P. Havlik, E. Heyhoe, D. Mason d’Croz, A. Popp, R. Sands, A. Tabeau, D. van der Mensbrugghe, M. von Lampe, M. Wise, E. Blanc, T. Hasegawa, A. Kavallari, and H. Valin. 2013. Land use change trajectories up to 2050 – insights from a global agro-economic model comparison. Agricultural Economics 45: 69-84.

Scott, M., D. S. Daly, Y. Zhou, J. S. Rice, P. L. Patel, H. C. McJeon, G. P. Kyle, S. H. Kim, J. Eom, and L. E. Clarke. 2014. Evaluating sub-national building-energy efficiency policy options under uncertainty: Efficient sensitivity testing of alternative climate, technological, and socioeconomic futures in a regional integrated-assessment model. Energy Economics 43: 22-33.

Thomson, A., P. Kyle, X. Zhang, V. Bandaru, T. West, M. Wise, C. Izaurralde, and K. Calvin. 2014. The contribution of future agricultural trends in the US Midwest to global climate change mitigation. Global Environmental Change 24: 143-154.

Valin, H., R. Sands, D. van der Mensbrugghe, G. Nelson, H. Ahammad, E. Blanc, B. Bodirsky, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, E. Heyhoe, P. Kyle, D. Mason d’Croz, S. Paltsev, S. Rolinski, A. Tabeau, H. van der Meijl, M. von Lampe, and D. Willenbockel. 2014. The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models. Agricultural Economics 45: 51-67.

von Lampe M., D. Willenbockel, E. Blanc, Y. Cai, K.V. Calvin, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, P. Kyle, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason d'Croz, G. Nelson, R. Sands, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, H. Valin, D. van der Mensbrugghe, and H. van Meijl. 2013.  Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP global economic model intercomparison. Agricultural Economics 45:3-20.

Wise, M.A., J. J. Dooley, P. Luckow, K. Calvin, and P. Kyle. 2014. Agriculture, land use, energy and carbon emission impacts of global biofuel mandates to mid-century. Applied Energy 114: 763-773.

Wise, M., K. Calvin, P. Kyle, P. Luckow, and J. Edmonds. 2014. Economic and physical modeling of land use in GCAM 3.0 and an application to agricultural productivity, land, and terrestrial carbon. Climate Change Economics 5, 1450003.

Wise, M., H. McJeon, L. Clarke, K. Calvin, and P. Kyle. 2014. Assessing the interactions among U.S. climate policy, biomass energy, and agricultural trade. The Energy Journal 35: 165-180.

Zhou, Y., L. Clarke, J. Eom, P. Kyle, P. Patel, S. Kim, J. Dirks, E. Jensen, Y. Liu, J. Rice, L. Schmidt, and T. Seiple. 2014. Modeling the effect of climate change on U.S. state-level buildings energy demands in an integrated assessment framework. Applied Energy 113: 1077-1088.

2013

Calvin, K. V., M. A. Wise, L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, P. Kyle, P. W. Luckow, and A. M. Thomson. 2013. Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117: 545-560.

Chaturvedi, V., S. H. Kim, S. J. Smith, L. E. Clarke, Y. Zhou, P. Kyle, and P. L. Patel. 2013. Model evaluation and hindcasting: a zero order experiment with an integrated assessment model. Energy 61: 479-490.

Davies, E. G. R., P. Kyle, and J. A. Edmonds. 2013. An integrated assessment of global and regional water demands for electricity generation to 2095. Advances in Water Resources 52: 296-313.

Dooley, J. J., P. Kyle, and E. Davies. 2013. Climate mitigation’s impact on global and regional electric power sector water use in the 21st century. Energy Procedia 37: 2470-2478.

Edmonds, J. A., P. W. Luckow, K. V. Calvin, M. A. Wise, J. J. Dooley, P. Kyle, S. H. Kim, P. L. Patel, and L. E. Clarke. 2013. Can radiative forcing be limited to 2.6 Wm-2 without negative emissions from bioenergy and CO2 capture and storage? Climatic Change 118: 29-43.

Girod, B., D. P. van Vuuren, M. Grahn, A. Kitous, S. H. Kim, and P. Kyle. 2013. Climate impact of transportation – a model comparison. Climatic Change 118: 595-608.

Kyle, P., E. G. R. Davies, J. J. Dooley, S. J. Smith, L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, and M. I Hejazi. 2013. Influence of climate change mitigation technology on global demands of water for electricity generation. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 13: 112-123.

Le Page, Y., G. Hurtt, A. M. Thomson, B. Bond-Lamberty, P. Patel, M. Wise, K, Calvin, P. Kyle, L. Clarke, J. Edmonds, and A. Janetos. 2013. Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances. Environmental Research Letters 8: 015018.

Zhou, S., P. Kyle, S. Yu, L.E. Clarke, J. Eom, P. W. Luckow, V. Chaturvedi, X. Zhang, and J. A. Edmonds. 2013. Energy use and CO2 emissions of China’s industrial sector from a global perspective. Energy Policy 58: 284-294.

2012

Edmonds, J. A., K. V. Calvin, L. E. Clarke, P. Kyle, and M. A. Wise. 2012. Energy and technology lessons since Rio. Energy Economics 34: S7-S14.

Eom, J., K. V. Calvin, L. E. Clarke, J. A. Edmonds, S. H. Kim, R. Kopp, P. Kyle, P. Luckow, R. H. Moss, P. L. Patel, and M.A. Wise. 2012. Exploring the future role of Asia utilizing a scenario matrix architecture and shared socio-ecosystem pathways. Energy Economics 34: S325-S338.

Eom, J., L. E. Clarke, S. H. Kim, P. Kyle, and P. L. Patel. 2012. China’s building energy use: a long-term perspective based on a detailed assessment. Energy 46: 405-419.

Eom, J., R. H. Moss, J. A. Edmonds, K. V Calvin, B. Bond-Lamberty, L. E. Clarke, J. J. Dooley, S. H. Kim, R. Kopp, P. Kyle, P. W. Luckow, P. L. Patel, A. M. Thomson, and M. A. Wise. 2012. Scenarios of Future Socio-Economics, Energy, Land Use and Radiative Forcing. In: Engineering Response to Global Climate Change, edited by Robert Watts. CRC Press.

2011

Kyle, P., L. Clarke, S. J. Smith, S. H. Kim, M. Nathan, and M. Wise. 2011. The value of advanced end-use energy technologies in meeting U.S. climate policy goals. The Energy Journal, Special Issue. Strategies for Mitigating Climate Change Through Energy Efficiency: A Multi-Model Perspective, pp. 55-81.

Kyle, P., and S. H. Kim. 2011. Long-term implications of alternative light-duty vehicle technologies for global greenhouse gas emissions and primary energy demands. Energy Policy 39(5): 3012-3024.

Lamarque, J. F., P. Kyle, M. Meinhausen, K. Riahi, S. J. Smith, D. P van Vuuren, A. Conley, and F. Vitt. 2011. Global and regional evolution of short-lived radiatively-active gases and aerosols in the Representative Concentration Pathways. Climatic Change 109: 191-212.

McJeon, H., L. Clarke, P. Kyle, M. Wise, A. Hackbarth, and R. Lempert. 2011. Technology interactions among low carbon energy technologies: what can we learn from a large number of scenarios? Energy Economics 33(4): 619-631.

Pugh, G., L. Clarke, R. Marlay, P. Kyle, M. Wise, H. McJeon, and G. Chan, G. 2011. Energy R&D portfolio analysis based on climate change mitigation. Energy Economics 33: 634-643.

Smith, S. J., J. J. West, and P. Kyle. 2011. Economically consistent long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions. Climatic Change 108: 619-627.

Thomson, A. M., K. V. Calvin, S. J. Smith, P. Kyle, A. C. Volke, P. L. Patel, S. Delgado-Arias, B. Bond-Lamberty, M. A. Wise, L. E. Clarke, and J. A. Edmonds. 2011. RCP 4.5: a pathway for stabilization of radiative forcing by 2100. Climatic Change 109: 77-94.

2010

Clarke, L. E., K. V. Calvin, J. A. Edmonds, P. Kyle, and M. A. Wise. 2010. Technology and International Climate Policy. In: J. Aldy and R. Stavins (eds.), Implementing Architectures for Agreement: Addressing Global Climate Change in the Post-Kyoto World. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, MA.

Kyle, P., L. Clarke, F. Rong, and S. Smith. 2010. Climate policy and the long-term evolution of the U.S. buildings sector. The Energy Journal 31(2): 145-172.

Wise, M. A., P. Kyle, J. J. Dooley, and S. H. Kim.  2010. The impact of electric passenger transport technology under an economy-wide climate policy in the United States: carbon dioxide emissions, coal use, and carbon dioxide capture and storage.  International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(2):301-308.

Zhang. Y., S. J. Smith, and P. Kyle.  2010. Modeling the potential for thermal concentrating solar power technologies.  Energy Policy 38(12):7884-7897.

2009

Calvin, K. V., J. A. Edmonds, B. Bond-Lamberty, L. E. Clarke, S. H. Kim, P. Kyle, S. J. Smith, A. M. Thomson, and M. A. Wise. 2009. 2.6: limiting climate change to 450 ppm CO2 equivalent in the 21st century. Energy Economics 31(2): S107-S120.

Kyle, P., L. E. Clarke, G. Pugh, M. A. Wise, K. V. Calvin, J. A. Edmonds, and S. H. Kim. 2009. The value of advanced technology in meeting 2050 greenhouse gas emissions targets in the United States. Energy Economics 31(2): S254-S267.

Smith, S. J., T. Bond, P. Kyle, S. Delgado Arias, and A. C. Volke. 2009. The end of aerosols: two hundred and fifty years of aerosols and climate. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 73 (13): A1241-A1241.

2008

Kyle, G. P., A. Kulmatiski, and K. H. Beard. 2008. Influence of pocket gopher mounds on non-native plant establishment in a shrub-steppe ecosystem. Western North American Naturalist 68: 374-381.

2007

Kyle, G. P., K. H. Beard, and A. Kulmatiski. 2007. Reduced soil compaction enhances establishment of non-native plant species. Plant Ecology 193: 223-232.