October 30, 2010
Conference Paper

Statistical Analysis of Abnormal Electric Power Grid Behavior

Abstract

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory is developing a technique to analyze Phasor Measurement Unit data to identify typical patterns, atypical events and precursors to a blackout or other undesirable event. The approach combines a data-driven multivariate analysis with an engineering-model approach. The method identifies atypical events, provides a plane English description of the event, and the capability to use drill-down graphics for detailed investigations. The tool can be applied to the entire grid, individual organizations (e.g. TVA, BPA), or specific substations (e.g., TVA_CUMB). The tool is envisioned for (1) event investigations, (2) overnight processing to generate a Morning Report that characterizes the previous days activity with respect to previous activity over the previous 10-30 days, and (3) potentially near-real-time operation to support the grid operators. This paper presents the current status of the tool and illustrations of its application to real world PMU data collected in three 10-day periods in 2007.

Revised: November 8, 2010 | Published: October 30, 2010

Citation

Ferryman T.A., and B.G. Amidan. 2010. Statistical Analysis of Abnormal Electric Power Grid Behavior. In Proceedings of the 43rd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS 2010), 2269-2276. Los Alamitos, California:IEEE Computer Society. PNNL-SA-66984. doi:10.1109/HICSS.2010.349