Staff information

PNNL Publications

2024

• Yarlagadda B.N., G.C. Iyer, M.T. Binsted, P.L. Patel, M.A. Wise, and J.D. McLeod. 2024. "The Future Evolution of Global Natural Gas Trade." iScience 27, no. 2:Art. No. 108902. PNNL-SA-182445. doi:10.1016/j.isci.2024.108902
• Zhao X., M. Chepeliev, P.L. Patel, M.A. Wise, K.V. Calvin, K. Narayan, and C.R. Vernon. 2024. "gcamfaostat: An R package to prepare, process, and synthesize FAOSTAT data for global agroeconomic and multisector dynamic modeling." Journal of Open Source Software 9, no. 96:Art. No. 6388. PNNL-SA-192383. doi:10.21105/joss.06388

2023

• Woodard D.L., A.C. Snyder, J.R. Lamontagne, C. Tebaldi, J.F. Morris, K.V. Calvin, and M.T. Binsted, et al. 2023. "Scenario Discovery Analysis of Drivers of Solar and Wind Energy Transitions through 2050." Earth's Future 11, no. 8:Art. No. e2022EF003442. PNNL-SA-180719. doi:10.1029/2022EF003442
• Zhang Y., S.T. Waldhoff, M.A. Wise, J.A. Edmonds, and P.L. Patel. 2023. "Agriculture, bioenergy, and water implications of constrained cereal trade and climate change impacts." PLoS One 18, no. 9:Art. No. e0291577. PNNL-SA-167220. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0291577

2022

• Binsted M.T., G.C. Iyer, P.L. Patel, N.T. Graham, Y. Ou, Z. Khan, and N. Kholod, et al. 2022. "GCAM-USA v5.3_water_dispatch: Integrated modeling of subnational US energy, water, and land systems within a global framework." Geoscientific Model Development 15, no. 6:2533-2559. PNNL-SA-162677. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-2533-2022
• Zhao X., M.A. Wise, S.T. Waldhoff, P. Kyle, J.E. Huster, C.W. Ramig, and L. Rafelski, et al. 2022. "The impact of agricultural trade approaches on global economic modeling." Global Environmental Change 73. PNNL-SA-153428. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102413

2021

• Fuhrman J., A.F. Clarens, K.V. Calvin, S. Doney, J.A. Edmonds, P. O'Rourke, and P.L. Patel, et al. 2021. "The Role of Direct Air Capture and Negative Emissions Technologies in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways towards +1.5°C and +2°C Futures." Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 11:Art. No. 114012. PNNL-ACT-SA-10539. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2db0
• Fuhrman J.G., A.F. Clarens, H.C. McJeon, P.L. Patel, Y. Ou, S. Doney, and W. Shobe, et al. 2021. "The role of negative emissions in meeting China’s 2060 carbon neutrality goal." Oxford Open Climate Change 1, no. 1:kgab004. PNNL-ACT-SA-10518. doi:10.1093/oxfclm/kgab004
• Graham N.T., G.C. Iyer, M.I. Hejazi, S.H. Kim, P.L. Patel, and M.T. Binsted. 2021. "Agricultural impacts of sustainable water use in the United States." Scientific Reports 11, no. 1:17917. PNNL-SA-155855. doi:10.1038/s41598-021-96243-5
• Hartin C.A., R.P. Link, P.L. Patel, A. Mundra, R.L. Horowitz, K.R. Dorheim, and L.E. Clarke. 2021. "Integrated Modeling of Human-Earth System Interactions: an Application of GCAM-Fusion." Energy Economics 103. PNNL-SA-141864. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105566
• Khan Z., G.C. Iyer, P.L. Patel, S.H. Kim, M.I. Hejazi, C.D. Burleyson, and M.A. Wise. 2021. "Impacts of long-term temperature change and variability on electricity investments." Nature Communications 12, no. 1:Article No. 1643. PNNL-SA-150975. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21785-1
• Kyle P., M.I. Hejazi, S.H. Kim, P.L. Patel, N.T. Graham, and Y. Liu. 2021. "Assessing the future of global energy-for-water." Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 2:024031. PNNL-SA-139311. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd8a9
• McJeon H.C., B. Mignone, P. O'Rourke, R. Horowitz, H. Kheshgi, L.E. Clarke, and P. Kyle, et al. 2021. "Fossil energy deployment through midcentury consistent with 2°C climate stabilization." Energy and Climate Change 2. PNNL-ACT-SA-10418. doi:10.1016/j.egycc.2021.100034
• Ou Y., C.W. Roney, J. Alsalam, K.V. Calvin, J. Creason, J.A. Edmonds, and A.A. Fawcett, et al. 2021. "Deep mitigation of CO2 and non-CO2 greenhouse gases toward 1.5°C and 2°C futures." Nature Communications 12, no. 1:Art. No. 6245. PNNL-SA-158423. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-26509-z
• Ou Y., G.C. Iyer, L. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, A.A. Fawcett, N. Hultman, and J. McFarland, et al. 2021. "Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2°C? Increased ambition and implementation are essential." Science 374, no. 6568:693-695. PNNL-SA-163608. doi:10.1126/science.abl8976
• Ou Y., M.T. Binsted, G.C. Iyer, P.L. Patel, and M.A. Wise. 2021. "US state-level capacity expansion pathways with improved modeling of the power sector dynamics within a multisector model." Energy Strategy Reviews 38. PNNL-SA-161771. doi:10.1016/j.esr.2021.100739
• Santos Da Silva S., M.I. Hejazi, G.C. Iyer, T. Wild, M.T. Binsted, F. Miralles-Wilhelm, and P.L. Patel, et al. 2021. "Power sector investment implications of climate impacts on renewable resources in Latin America and the Caribbean." Nature Communications 12, no. 1:Article No. 1276. PNNL-SA-154178. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21502-y
• Zhao M., M.T. Binsted, T.B. Wild, Z. Khan, B.N. Yarlagadda, G.C. Iyer, and C.R. Vernon, et al. 2021. "plutus: An R package to calculate electricity investments and stranded assets from the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)." Journal of Open Source Software 6, no. 65:3212. PNNL-SA-162209. doi:10.21105/joss.03212
• Zhao X., K.V. Calvin, M.A. Wise, P.L. Patel, A.C. Snyder, S.T. Waldhoff, and M.I. Hejazi, et al. 2021. "Global agricultural responses to interannual climate and biophysical variability." Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 10:104037. PNNL-SA-150812. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2965

2020

• Calvin K.V., B. Mignone, H. Kheshgi, A.C. Snyder, P.L. Patel, M.A. Wise, and L.E. Clarke, et al. 2020. "Global market and economic welfare implications of changes in agricultural yields due to climate change." Climate Change Economics 11, no. 1:Article No. 2050005. PNNL-ACT-SA-10398. doi:10.1142/S2010007820500050
• Edmonds J.A., C. Nichols, M. Adamantiades, J. Bistline, J.E. Huster, G.C. Iyer, and N. Johnson, et al. 2020. "Could congressionally mandated incentives lead to deployment of large-scale CO2 capture, facilities for enhanced oil recovery CO2 markets and geologic CO2 storage?." Energy Policy 146. PNNL-SA-154457. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111775
• Fuhrman J., H.C. McJeon, P.L. Patel, S. Doney, W. Shobe, and A.F. Clarens. 2020. "Food-energy-water implications of negative emissions technologies in a+ 1.5° C future." Nature Climate Change 10, no. 10:920-927. PNNL-ACT-SA-10482. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0876-z
• Graham N.T., M.I. Hejazi, M. Chen, E. Davies, J.A. Edmonds, S.H. Kim, and S. Turner, et al. 2020. "Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways." Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 1:Article No. 014007. PNNL-SA-151297. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab639b
• Snyder A.C., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, P. Kyle, K. Narayan, and A. Di Vittorio, et al. 2020. "The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM." PLOS ONE 15, no. 8:e0237918. PNNL-SA-134943. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0237918
• Zhao X., K.V. Calvin, P.L. Patel, A.C. Snyder, M.A. Wise, S.T. Waldhoff, and M.I. Hejazi, et al. 2020. "Impacts of climate and biophysical variability on global agriculture markets." In Proceedings of the 23rd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (GTAP 2020), June 17-19, 2020, Virtual, Online. West Lafayette, Indiana:Center for Global Trade Analysis. PNNL-SA-153062.

2019

• Bond-Lamberty B., K.R. Dorheim, Y. Cui, R.L. Horowitz, A.C. Snyder, K.V. Calvin, and L. Feng, et al. 2019. "gcamdata: An R Package for Preparation, Synthesis, and Tracking of Input Data for the GCAM Integrated Human-Earth Systems Model." Journal of Open Research Software 7, no. 1:Article No. 6. PNNL-SA-135553. doi:10.5334/jors.232
• Calvin K.V., P.L. Patel, L.E. Clarke, G.R. Asrar, B. Bond-Lamberty, R. Cui, and A. Di Vittorio, et al. 2019. "GCAM v5.1: Representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems." Geoscientific Model Development 12, no. 2:677-698. PNNL-SA-137098. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-677-2019
• Cui R., N. Hultman, M.R. Edwards, L. He, A. Sen, K. Surana, and H.C. McJeon, et al. 2019. "Quantifying operational lifetimes for coal power plants under the Paris goals." Nature Communications 10. PNNL-ACT-SA-10417. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-12618-3
• Iyer G.C., M. Brown, S. Cohen, J. Macknick, P.L. Patel, M.A. Wise, and M.T. Binsted, et al. 2019. "Improving consistency among models of overlapping scope in multi-sector studies: The case of electricity capacity expansion scenarios." Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 116. PNNL-SA-134710. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2019.109416
• Santos Da Silva S., F.R. Miralles-Wilhelm, R. Muñoz Castillo, L.E. Clarke, C.J. Braun, A. Delgado, and J.A. Edmonds, et al. 2019. "The Paris pledges and the energy-water-land nexus in Latin America: Exploring implications of greenhouse gas emission reductions." PLoS One 14, no. 4:e0215013. PNNL-SA-136697. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0215013
• Wise M.A., P.L. Patel, Z. Khan, S.H. Kim, M.I. Hejazi, and G.C. Iyer. 2019. "Representing power sector detail and flexibility in a multi-sector model." Energy Strategy Reviews 26. PNNL-SA-138629. doi:10.1016/j.esr.2019.100411
• Yu S., J.D. Horing, Q. Liu, R.T. Dahowski, C.L. Davidson, J.A. Edmonds, and B. Liu, et al. 2019. "CCUS in China’s Mitigation Strategy: Insights from Integrated Assessment Modeling." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 84. PNNL-SA-128974. doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2019.03.004

2018

• Cui Y., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, M.I. Hejazi, S.H. Kim, P. Kyle, and P.L. Patel, et al. 2018. "Regional responses to future, demand-driven water scarcity." Environmental Research Letters 13, no. 9:Article No. 094006. PNNL-SA-132928. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aad8f7
• Feijoo F., G.C. Iyer, C. Avraam, S.A. Siddiqui, L.E. Clarke, S. Sankaranarayanan, and M.T. Binsted, et al. 2018. "The future of natural gas infrastructure development in the United states." Applied Energy 228. PNNL-SA-132268. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.06.037
• Graham N.T., E. Davies, M.I. Hejazi, K.V. Calvin, S.H. Kim, L. Helinski, and F. Miralles-Wilhelm, et al. 2018. "Water Sector Assumptions for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways in an Integrated Modeling framework." Water Resources Research 54, no. 9:6423-6440. PNNL-SA-126476. doi:10.1029/2018WR023452
• Vernon C.R., J.S. Rice, N. Zuljevic, T.E. Seiple, M. Kintner-Meyer, C. Jin, and J. Olson, et al. 2018. "CERF - A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility." Journal of Open Research Software. PNNL-SA-125186. doi:10.5334/jors.227
• Vernon C.R., N. Zuljevic, J.S. Rice, T.E. Seiple, M. Kintner-Meyer, N. Voisin, and I.P. Kraucunas, et al. 2018. "CERF - A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Energy Production Technology Expansion Feasibility." Journal of Open Research Software 6, no. 1:20. PNNL-SA-133523. doi:10.5334/jors.227
• Yu S., M. Evans, P. Kyle, L.D. Vu, Q. Tan, A. Gupta, and P.L. Patel. 2018. "Implementing Nationally Determined Contributions: Building Energy Policies in India’s Mitigation Strategy." Environmental Research Letters 13, no. 3:Article Number 034034. PNNL-SA-124403. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaad84

2017

• Calvin K.V., B. Bond-Lamberty, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, J. Eom, C.A. Hartin, and S.H. Kim, et al. 2017. "The SSP4: A World of Deepening Inequality." Global Environmental Change 42. PNNL-SA-115202. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010
• Güneralp B., Y. Zhou, D. Ürge-Vorsatz, M. Gupta, S. Yu, P.L. Patel, and M. Fragkias, et al. 2017. "Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) 114, no. 34:8945-8950. PNNL-SA-120304. doi:10.1073/pnas.1606035114
• Muratori M., C.M. Ledna, H.C. McJeon, P. Kyle, P.L. Patel, S.H. Kim, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2017. "Cost of Power or Power of Cost: a U.S. Modeling Perspective." Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77. PNNL-ACT-SA-10131. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.055
• Yu S., Q. Tan, M. Evans, P. Kyle, L.D. Vu, and P.L. Patel. 2017. "Improving Building Energy Efficiency in India: State-level Analysis of Building Energy Efficiency Policies." Energy Policy 110. PNNL-SA-120611. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.07.013

2016

• Hartin C.A., B. Bond-Lamberty, P.L. Patel, and A. Mundra. 2016. "Ocean acidification over the next three centuries using a simple global climate carbon-cycle model: projections and sensitivities." Biogeosciences 13, no. 15:4329-4342. PNNL-SA-115266. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4329-2016
• Kim S.H., M.I. Hejazi, L. Liu, K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, and P. Kyle, et al. 2016. "Balancing Global Water Availability and Use at Basin Scale in an Integrated Assessment Model." Climatic Change 136, no. 2:217-231. PNNL-SA-112666. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1604-6
• Scott M.J., D.S. Daly, M.I. Hejazi, P. Kyle, L. Liu, H.C. McJeon, and A. Mundra, et al. 2016. "Sensitivity of Future U.S. Water Shortages to Socioeconomic and Climate Drivers: A Case Study in Georgia Using an Integrated Human-Earth System Modeling Framework." Climatic Change 136, no. 2:233-246. PNNL-SA-105762. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1602-8
• Talati S.K., H. Zhai, P. Kyle, M. Morgan, P.L. Patel, and L. Liu. 2016. "Consumptive Water Use from Electricity Generation in the Southwest under Alternative Climate, Technology and Policy Futures." Environmental Science & Technology 50, no. 22:12095-12104. PNNL-SA-114539. doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b01389
• Wang L., P.L. Patel, S. Yu, B. Liu, J.D. Mcleod, L.E. Clarke, and W. Chen. 2016. "Win-Win strategies to promote air pollutant control policies and non-fossil energy target regulation in China." Applied Energy 163. PNNL-SA-112613. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.10.189

2015

• Collins W.D., A.P. Craig, J.E. Truesdale, A. Di Vittorio, A.D. Jones, B. Bond-Lamberty, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2015. "The integrated Earth System Model Version 1: formulation and functionality." Biogeosciences 8. PNNL-SA-110647. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2203-2015
• Hartin C.A., P.L. Patel, A. Schwarber, R.P. Link, and B. Bond-Lamberty. 2015. "A simple object-oriented and open source model for scientific and policy analyses of the global climate system-Hector v1.0." Geoscientific Model Development 8, no. 4:939-955. PNNL-SA-104722. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-939-2015
• Hejazi M.I., N. Voisin, L. Liu, L.M. Bramer, D.C. Fortin, J.E. Hathaway, and M. Huang, et al. 2015. "21st Century United States Emissions Mitigation Could Increase Water Stress more than the Climate Change it is Mitigating." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) 112, no. 34:10635-10640. PNNL-SA-105956. doi:10.1073/pnas.1421675112
• Iyer G.C., J.A. Edmonds, A.A. Fawcett, N. Hultman, J. Alsalam, G.R. Asrar, and K.V. Calvin, et al. 2015. "The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C." Environmental Research Letters 10, no. 12:Article No. 125002. PNNL-SA-111720. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125002
• Iyer G.C., N. Hultman, J. Eom, H.C. McJeon, P.L. Patel, and L.E. Clarke. 2015. "Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, no. Part A:103-118. PNNL-SA-93434. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.025
• Liu L., M.I. Hejazi, P.L. Patel, P. Kyle, E. Davies, Y. Zhou, and L.E. Clarke, et al. 2015. "Water demands for electricity generation in the U.S.: Modeling different scenarios for the water-energy nexus." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 94. PNNL-SA-100516. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.11.004
• McFarland J., Y. Zhou, L.E. Clarke, P. Sullivan, J. Colman, W. Jaglom, and M. Colley, et al. 2015. "Erratum to: Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison." Climatic Change 132, no. 4:739. PNNL-SA-115273. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1452-9
• McFarland J., Y. Zhou, L.E. Clarke, P. Sullivan, J. Colman, W. Jaglom, and M. Colley, et al. 2015. "Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison." Climatic Change 131, no. 1:111-125. PNNL-SA-111360. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1380-8
• Scott M.J., D.S. Daly, J.E. Hathaway, C.S. Lansing, Y. Liu, H.C. McJeon, and R.H. Moss, et al. 2015. "Calculating Impacts of Energy Standards on Energy Demand in U.S. Buildings with Uncertainty in an Integrated Assessment Model." Energy 90, no. Part 2:1682-1694. PNNL-SA-102017. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.127
• Yin X., W. Chen, J. Eom, L.E. Clarke, S.H. Kim, P.L. Patel, and S. Yu, et al. 2015. "China's transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective." Energy Policy 82. PNNL-SA-112651. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.03.021

2014

• Bond-Lamberty B., K.V. Calvin, A.D. Jones, J. Mao, P.L. Patel, X. Shi, and A.M. Thomson, et al. 2014. "On linking an Earth system model to the equilibrium carbon representation of an economically optimizing land use model." Geoscientific Model Development 7, no. 6:2545-2555. PNNL-SA-100308. doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2545-2014
• Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, P. Kyle, P.L. Patel, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2014. "Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets." Climatic Change 123, no. 3-4:691-704. PNNL-SA-91566. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0897-y
• Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "Integrated assessment of global water scarcity over the 21st century - Part 2: Climate change mitigation policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, no. 8:2859-2883. PNNL-SA-90338. doi:10.5194/hessd-10-3383-2013
• Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "Integrated Assessment of Global Water Scarcity over the 21st Century under Multiple Climate Change Mitigation Policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, no. 8:2859-2883. PNNL-SA-90339. doi:10.5194/hess-18-2859-2014
• Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "Integrated assessment of global water scarcity over the 21st century under multiple climate change mitigation policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18, no. 8:2859-2883. PNNL-SA-103668. doi:10.5194/hess-18-2859-2014
• Hejazi M.I., J.A. Edmonds, L.E. Clarke, P. Kyle, E. Davies, V. Chaturvedi, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2014. "LONG-TERM GLOBAL WATER USE PROJECTIONS USING SIX SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELING FRAMEWORK." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 81. PNNL-SA-89288. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.05.006
• Scott M.J., D.S. Daly, Y. Zhou, J.S. Rice, P.L. Patel, H.C. McJeon, and P. Kyle, et al. 2014. "Evaluating sub-national building-energy efficiency policy options under uncertainty: Efficient sensitivity testing of alternative climate, technolgical, and socioeconomic futures in a regional intergrated-assessment model." Energy Economics 43, no. 2014:22-33. PNNL-SA-92108. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2014.01.012
• Zhou Y., L.E. Clarke, J. Eom, P. Kyle, P.L. Patel, S.H. Kim, and J.A. Dirks, et al. 2014. "Modeling the effect of climate change on U.S. state-level buildings energy demands in an integrated assessment framework." Applied Energy 113. PNNL-SA-94232. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.08.034