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Atmospheric Science & Global Change

Staff information

Kate Calvin

Integrated Modeling & Energy


Kate Calvin is a research economist at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's Joint Global Change Research Institute in College Park, MD. Her research focuses on model development and scenario analysis with the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM), JGCRI's integrated assessment model. Her recent work has examined the influence of bioenergy on land-use, the impact of climate change on agricultural production, the implications of delayed participation in climate stabilization scenarios, and the influence of second best policies on environmental effectiveness and economic efficiency.

Research Interests

  • Bioenergy and land-use
  • Climate change impacts
  • International climate policy

Education and Credentials

  • Ph.D., Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University
  • M.S., , Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University
  • B.S., Mathematics, University of Maryland, College Park
  • B.S., Computer Science, University of Maryland, College Park

PNNL Publications


  • Bauer N, V Bosetti, M Hamdi-Cherif, A Kitous, D McCollum, A Mejean, S Rao, H Turton, L Paroussos, S Ashina, KV Calvin, K Wada, and D Van Vuuren. 2015. "CO2 emissions mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90(A):243-256.  doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009
  • Gernaat D, KV Calvin, P Lucas, G Luderer, S Otto, S Rao, J Strefler, and D Van Vuuren. 2015. "Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios." Global Environmental Change 33:142-153.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.010
  • Tavoni M, E Kriegler, K Riahi, D Van Vuuren, T Aboumahboub, A Bowen, KV Calvin, E Campiglio, T Kober, J Jewell, G Luderer, G Marangoni, D McCollum, M van Sluisveld, A Zimmer, and B van der Zwaan. 2015. "Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models." Nature Climate Change 5:119-126.  doi:10.1038/nclimate2475


  • Bond-Lamberty B, KV Calvin, AD Jones, J Mao, PL Patel, X Shi, AM Thomson, PE Thornton, and Y Zhou. 2014. "On linking an Earth system model to the equilibrium carbon representation of an economically optimizing land use model." Geoscientific Model Development 7(6):2545-2555.  doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2545-2014
  • Bond-Lamberty B, A Rocha, KV Calvin, B Holmes, C Wang, and ML Goulden. 2014. "Disturbance legacies and climate jointly drive tree growth and mortality in an intensively studied boreal forest." Global Change Biology 20(1):216-227.  doi:10.1111/gcb.12404
  • Kyle GP, C Mueller, KV Calvin, and AM Thomson. 2014. "Meeting the Radiative Forcing Targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways in a World with Agricultural Climate Impacts." Earths Future 2(2):83-98.  doi:10.1002/2013EF000199
  • Luderer G, V Krey, KV Calvin, J Merrick, S Mima, R Pietzcker, J Van Vliet, and K Wada. 2014. "The role of renewable energy in climate stabilization: results from the EMF 27 scenarios." Climatic Change 123(3-4):427-441.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0924-z
  • McCollum D, N Bauer, KV Calvin, A Kitous, and K Riahi. 2014. "Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds." Climatic Change 123(3-4):413-426.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0939-5
  • McCollum D, Y Nagai, K Riahi, G Marangoni, KV Calvin, R Pietzcker, J Van Vliet, and B van der Zwaan. 2014. "ENERGY INVESTMENTS UNDER CLIMATE POLICY: A COMPARISON OF GLOBAL MODELS." Climate Change Economics 4(4):Article No. 1340010.  doi:10.1142/S2010007813400101
  • Nelson G, D van der Mensbrugghe, H Ahammad, E Blanc, KV Calvin, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, E Heyhoe, GP Kyle, H Lotze-Campen, M von Lampe, D Mason d'Croz, H van Meijl, C Mueller, JM Reilly, R Robertson, R Sands, C Schmitz, A Tabeau, K Takahashi, H Valin, and D Willenbockel. 2014. "Agriculture and Climate Change in Global Scenarios: Why Don't the Models Agree." Agricultural Economics 45(1):85-101.  doi:10.1111/agec.12091
  • Rose SK, E Kriegler, R Bibas, KV Calvin, A Popp, D van Vuuren, and J Weyant. 2014. "Bioenergy in Energy Transformation and Climate Management." Climatic Change 123(3-4):477-493.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0965-3
  • von Lampe M, D Willenbockel, H Ahammad, E Blanc, Y Cai, KV Calvin, S Fujimori, T Hasegawa, P Havlik, GP Kyle, H Lotze-Campen, D Mason d'Croz, G Nelson, R Sands, C Schmitz, A Tabeau, H Valin, D van der Mensbrugghe, and H van Meijl. 2014. "Why Do Global Long-term Scenarios for Agriculture Differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison." Agricultural Economics 45(1):3-20.  doi:10.1111/agec.12086


  • Kriegler E, M Tavoni, T Aboumahboub, G Luderer, KV Calvin, G DeMaere, V Krey, K Riahi, H Rosler, M Schaeffer, and D Van Vuuren. 2013. "What does the 2C Target Imply for a Global Climate Agreement in 2020? The LIMITS Study on Durban Action Platform Scenarios." Climate Change Economics 4(4):Article No. 1340008.  doi:10.1142/S2010007813400083
  • van der Zwaan B, H Rosler, T Kober, T Aboumahboub, KV Calvin, D Gernaat, G Marangoni, and D McCollum. 2013. "A Cross-model Comparison of Global Long-term Technology Diffusion under a 2C Climate Change Control Target." Climate Change Economics 4(4):Article No. 1340013.  doi:10.1142/S2010007813400137
  • van Sluisveld M, D Gernaat, S Ashina, KV Calvin, A Garg, M Isaac, P Lucas, I Mouratiadou, SA Otto, S Rao, PR Shukla, J Van Vliet, and D Van Vuuren. 2013. "A MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS OF POST-2020 MITIGATION EFFORTS OF FIVE MAJOR ECONOMIES." Climate Change Economics 4(4):Article No. 1340012.  doi:10.1142/S2010007813400125


  • Calvin KV, AA Fawcett, and K Jiang. 2012. "COMPARING MODEL RESULTS TO NATIONAL CLIMATE POLICY GOALS: RESULTS FROM THE ASIA MODELING EXERCISE." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 3):S306-S315.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.008
  • Calvin KV, LE Clarke, V Krey, GJ Blanford, K Jiang, M Kainuma, E Kriegler, G Luderer, and PR Shukla. 2012. "The Role of Asia in Mitigating Climate Change: Results from the Asia Modeling Exercise." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 3):S251-S260.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.09.003


  • Kyle GP, P Luckow, KV Calvin, WR Emanuel, M Nathan, and Y Zhou. 2011. GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land Use: Data Sources and MethodsPNNL-21025, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Meinshausen M, SJ Smith, KV Calvin, JS Daniel, M Kainuma, JF Lamarque, K Matsumoto, S Montzka, S Raper, K Riahi, AM Thomson, GJM Velders, and D Van Vuuren. 2011. "The RCP Greenhouse Gas Concentrations and their Extensions from 1765 to 2300." Climatic Change 109(1-2):213-241.  doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z



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