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Atmospheric Science & Global Change

Staff information

Page Kyle

Human-Earth Sys Sci: Analysis
Earth Scientist


Page Kyle is a Research Scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, where he has been employed since September 2006. His research generally addresses technology and mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions, from an integrated assessment framework. Specific areas of research have included development of representations of renewable energy resources, secondary energy production, final energy demand, non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions, agriculture and land use, and water demand. He received a B.A. from Dartmouth College in Earth Sciences and Economics, and a M.S. in ecology from Utah State University.

Education and Credentials

  • Dartmouth College, B.A.
  • Utah State University, M.S.

PNNL Publications


  • Kyle P., M.I. Hejazi, S.H. Kim, P.L. Patel, N.T. Graham, and Y. Liu. 2021. "Assessing the future of global energy-for-water." Environmental Research Letters 16, no. 2:024031. PNNL-SA-139311. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd8a9
  • Sampedro Martinez de Estivariz J., P. Kyle, C.W. Ramig, D. Tanner, J.E. Huster, and M.A. Wise. 2021. "Dynamic Linking of Upstream Energy and Freight Demands for Bio and Fossil Energy Pathways in the Global Change Analysis Model." Applied Energy 302. PNNL-SA-161004. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117580


  • Burleyson C.D., G.C. Iyer, M.I. Hejazi, S.H. Kim, P. Kyle, J.S. Rice, and A.D. Smith, et al. 2020. "Future western U.S. building electricity consumption in response to climate and population drivers: A comparative study of the impact of model structure." Energy 208. PNNL-SA-151017. doi:10.1016/
  • Graham N.T., M.I. Hejazi, M. Chen, E. Davies, J.A. Edmonds, S.H. Kim, and S. Turner, et al. 2020. "Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways." Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 1:Article No. 014007. PNNL-SA-151297. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab639b
  • Khan Z., T.B. Wild, M. Silva Carrazzone, R. Gaudioso, M. Mascari, F. Bianchi, and F. Weinstein, et al. 2020. "Integrated energy-water-land nexus planning to guide national policy: an example from Uruguay." Environmental Research Letters 15, no. 9. PNNL-SA-150376. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab9389
  • Snyder A.C., K.V. Calvin, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, P. Kyle, K. Narayan, and A. Di Vittorio, et al. 2020. "The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM." PLOS ONE 15, no. 8:e0237918. PNNL-SA-134943. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0237918
  • Van Zeist W., E. Stehfest, J. Doelman, H. Valin, H. Valin, K.V. Calvin, and S. Fujimori, et al. 2020. "Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?." Global Environmental Change 64. PNNL-SA-150084. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120


  • Turner S., M.I. Hejazi, C. Yonkofski, S.H. Kim, and P. Kyle. 2019. "Influence of groundwater extraction costs and resource depletion limits on simulated global nonrenewable water withdrawals over the twenty-first century." Earth's Future 7, no. 2:123-135. PNNL-SA-129871. doi:10.1029/2018EF001105


  • Iyer G.C., C.M. Ledna, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, H.C. McJeon, P. Kyle, and J. Williams. 2017. "Measuring Progress from Nationally Determined Contributions to Mid-Century Strategies." Nature Climate Change 7. PNNL-ACT-SA-10269. doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0005-9
  • Muratori M., C.M. Ledna, H.C. McJeon, P. Kyle, P.L. Patel, S.H. Kim, and M.A. Wise, et al. 2017. "Cost of Power or Power of Cost: a U.S. Modeling Perspective." Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews 77. PNNL-ACT-SA-10131. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.055


  • Calvin K.V., M.A. Wise, P. Luckow, P. Kyle, L.E. Clarke, and J.A. Edmonds. 2016. "Implications of uncertain future fossil energy resources on bioenergy use and terrestrial carbon emissions." Climatic Change 136, no. 1:57-68. PNWD-SA-10003. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0923-0
  • Schafer A., P. Kyle, and R. Pietzcker. 2016. "Exploring the use of dynamic linear panel data models for evaluating energy/economy/environment models - an application for the transportation sector." Climatic Change 136, no. 1:141-154. PNWD-SA-10100. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1293-y


  • Hejazi M.I., N. Voisin, L. Liu, L.M. Bramer, D.C. Fortin, J.E. Hathaway, and M. Huang, et al. 2015. "21st Century United States Emissions Mitigation Could Increase Water Stress more than the Climate Change it is Mitigating." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112, no. 34:10635-10640. PNNL-SA-105956. doi:10.1073/pnas.1421675112
  • Smith S.J., Y. Zhou, P. Kyle, H. Wang, and H. Yu. 2015. "A Community Emissions Data System (CEDS) for Historical Emissions." In 2015 International Emission Inventory Conference: Air Quality Challenges: Tackling the Changing Face of Emissions, April 13-16, 2015, San Diego, California. Washington, District Of Columbia:US EPA. PNNL-SA-109670.
  • Wolf J., T.O. West, Y. Le Page, P. Kyle, X. Zhang, G. Collatz, and M.L. Imhoff. 2015. "Biogenic carbon fluxes from global agricultural production and consumption." Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29, no. 10:1617-1639. PNNL-SA-108532. doi:10.1002/2015GB005119

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