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Marshall Wise

Marshall Wise

Integrated Modeling & Energy
Scientist
301/314-6770

Biography

Marshall Wise is a Senior Research Engineer at the Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), a collaboration of the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and the University of Maryland in College Park. Mr. Wise re-joined PNNL in 2002, after previously serving on the staff from 1990 to 1998 at Battelle's Washington DC Operations. His expertise is in the economic modeling and analysis of energy systems, with experience in both broad-scale energy policy analysis and in detailed financial analysis of private-sector electric power generation assets.

In the early to mid 1990s, Mr. Wise was a key team member in in the development and implementation of two leading economic and integrated assessment models, the Second Generation Model (SGM) and the MiniCAM, for which he served as the lead developer until 1998. Mr. Wise currently serves on the development team for JGCRI's ObjECTS model, a major new modeling and analysis framework for performing integrated assessments of global change. This new framework builds on the foundations and success of our SGM and MiniCAM models with a further focus on explicit technological and sectoral detail. It will form the quantitative backbone of our analysis for PNNL's Global Technology Strategy Program (GTSP) as well as much of our other policy, technology, and market analysis.

From 1998 to 2002, Mr. Wise served as a manager in ICF Consulting's private sector electric power consulting practice, where he modeled and analyzed future electric power market conditions for several leading private energy companies, international banks, and Wall Street credit rating agencies.

Research Interests

  • Economic modeling and analysis of energy systems
  • Broad-scale energy policy analysis
  • Detailed financial analysis of private-sector electric power generation assets

Education and Credentials

  • M.S., Industrial and Systems Engineering, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University (Virginia Tech)
  • B.S., Industrial and Systems Engineering, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University (Virginia Tech)

PNNL Publications

2014

  • Wise MA, JJ Dooley, P Luckow, KV Calvin, and GP Kyle. 2014. "Agriculture, Land Use, Energy and Carbon Emission Impacts of Global Biofuel Mandates to Mid-Century." Applied Energy 114:763-773.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.08.042

2013

  • Calvin KV, MA Wise, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, PW Luckow, and AM Thomson. 2013. "Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: Initial experiments using GCAM." Climatic Change 117(3):545-560.  doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y
  • Chaturvedi V, MI Hejazi, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, E Davies, MA Wise, and KV Calvin. 2013. Climate policy implications for agricultural water demandPNNL-22356, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Edmonds JA, PW Luckow, KV Calvin, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, GP Kyle, SH Kim, PL Patel, and LE Clarke. 2013. "Can Radiative Forcing Be Limited to 2.6 Wm-2 Without Negative Emissions From Bioenergy AND CO2 Capture and Storage?" Climatic Change 118(1):29-43.  doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0678-z
  • Eom J, RH Moss, JA Edmonds, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, R Kopp, GP Kyle, PW Luckow, PL Patel, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and Y Zhou. 2013. "Scenarios of Future Socio-Economics, Energy, Land Use, and Radiative Forcing." In Engineering Response to Climate Change, 2nd Ed., ed. RG Watts, pp. 81-138  CRC Press Inc, Boca Raton, FL. 
  • Jones AD, WD Collins, JA Edmonds, MS Torn, AC Janetos, KV Calvin, AM Thomson, LM Chini, J Mao, X Shi, P Thornton, G Hurtt, and MA Wise. 2013. "Greenhouse gas policy influences climate via direct effects of land-use change." Journal of Climate 26(11):3657-3670.  doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00377.1
  • Le Page YLB, G Hurtt, AM Thomson, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, MA Wise, KV Calvin, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and AC Janetos. 2013. "Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances." Environmental Research Letters 8(1):Article No. 015018.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015018

2012

  • Edmonds JA, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, AC Janetos, SH Kim, MA Wise, and HC McJeon. 2012. "Integrated Assessment Modeling." In Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology, ed. RA Meyers, pp. 5398-5428.  Springer , New York, NY. 
  • Edmonds JA, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, and MA Wise. 2012. "Energy and technology lessons since Rio." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 1):S7-S14.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.08.037
  • Eom J, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, SH Kim, R Kopp, GP Kyle, P Luckow, RH Moss, PL Patel, and MA Wise. 2012. "Exploring the Future Role of Asia Utilizing A Scenario Matrix Architecture and Shared Socio-Ecosystem Pathways." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 3):S325-S338.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.012

2011

  • Luckow P, MA Wise, and JJ Dooley. 2011. "Deployment of CCS Technologies across the Load Curve for a Competitive Electricity Market as a Function of CO2 Emissions Permit Prices." In 10th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, September 19-23, 2010, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Energy Procedia, vol. 4, ed. J Gale, C Hendriks, W Turkenberg, pp. 5762-5769.  Elsevier, London, United Kingdom.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2011.02.572
  • Kyle GP, LE Clarke, SJ Smith, SH Kim, M Nathan, and MA Wise. 2011. "The Value of Advanced End-Use Energy Technologies in Meeting U.S. Climate Policy Goals." The Energy Journal 32(Special Issue):Article No. 5. 
  • McJeon HC, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, MA Wise, A Hackbarth, B Bryant, and R Lempert. 2011. "Technology Interactions among Low Carbon Energy Technologies: What Can We Learn from a Large Number of Scenarios?" Energy Economics 33(4):619-631.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2010.10.007
  • Pugh G, LE Clarke, R Marlay, GP Kyle, MA Wise, HC McJeon, and G Chan. 2011. "Energy R&D portfolio analysis based on climate change mitigation." Energy Economics 33(4):634-643.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2010.11.007
  • Thomson AM, KV Calvin, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, AC Volke, PL Patel, S Delgado Arias, B Bond-Lamberty, MA Wise, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds. 2011. "RCP4.5: A Pathway for Stabilization of Radiative Forcing by 2100." Climatic Change 109(1-2):77-94.  doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0151-4

2010

  • Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2010. Biomass Energy for Transport and Electricity: Large scale utilization under low CO2 concentration scenariosPNNL-19124, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2010. "Large-Scale Utilization of Biomass Energy and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage in the Transport and Electricity Sectors under Stringent CO2 Concentration Limit Scenarios." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(5):865-877.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2010.06.002
  • Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, and MA Wise. 2010. Bioenergy and the importance of land use policy in a carbon-constrained worldPNNL-19462, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Thomson AM, KV Calvin, LP Chini, G Hurtt, JA Edmonds, B Bond-Lamberty, S Frolking, MA Wise, and AC Janetos. 2010. "Climate mitigation and the future of tropical landscapes." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107(46):19633-19638 . 
  • Wise MA, GP Kyle, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2010. "The Impact of Electric Passenger Transport Technology under an Economy-Wide Climate Policy in the United States: Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Coal Use, and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage ." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(2):301-308.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2009.09.003

2009

  • Kyle GP, LE Clarke, G Pugh, MA Wise, KV Calvin, JA Edmonds, and SH Kim. 2009. "The Value of Advanced Technology in Meeting 2050 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets in the United States." Energy Economics 31(2):S254-S267. 
  • Wise MA, and JJ Dooley. 2009. "The Value of Post-Combustion Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies in a World with Uncertain Greenhouse Gas Emissions Constraints." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 3(1):39-48.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2008.06.012
  • Calvin KV, PL Patel, AA Fawcett, LE Clarke, K Fisher-Vanden, JA Edmonds, SH Kim, R Sands, and MA Wise. 2009. "The Distribution and Magnitude of Emissions Mitigation Costs in Climate Stabilization Under Less Than Perfect International Cooperation: SGM Results." Energy Economics 31(2):S187-S197 . 
  • Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, SH Kim, GP Kyle, SJ Smith, AM Thomson, and MA Wise. 2009. "2.6: Limiting Climate Change to 450 ppm CO2 Equivalent in the 21st Century." Energy Economics 31(2):S107-S120. 
  • Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, B Bond-Lamberty, SH Kim, MA Wise, AM Thomson, and GP Kyle. 2009. Land-use LeakagePNNL-18585, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Wise MA, KV Calvin, AM Thomson, LE Clarke, B Bond-Lamberty, RD Sands, SJ Smith, AC Janetos, and JA Edmonds. 2009. "Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy." Science 324(5931):1183-1186 . 

2008

  • Edmonds JA, LE Clarke, JP Lurz, and MA Wise. 2008. "Stabilizing CO2 Concentrations with Incomplete International Cooperation." Climate Policy 8(4):355-376. 
  • Edmonds JA, LE Clarke, MA Wise, HM Pitcher, and SJ Smith. 2008. "Implications for the USA of stabilization of radiative forcing at 3.4 W/m2 ." Climate Policy 8:S76 - S92. 
  • Wise MA, GP Kyle, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2008. "The Impact of Electric Passenger Transport Technology on the Demand for Coal-fired Power with CCS under a Climate Policy." In Energy Procedia: 9th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Contorol Technologies (GHGT9), vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 4355-4362.  Elsevier, London, United Kingdom.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2009.02.249

2007

  • Wise MA, JJ Dooley, RT Dahowski, and CL Davidson. 2007. "Modeling the Impacts of Climate Policy on the Deployment of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage across Electric Power Regions in the United States." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 1(2):261-270.  doi:10.1016/S1750-5836(07)00017-5
  • Wise MA, JJ Dooley, RT Dahowski, and CL Davidson. 2007. "Modelling the impacts of climate policy on the deployment of carbon dioxide capture and geologic storage across electric power regions in the United States." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 1(2):261-270.  doi:10.1016/S1750-5836(07)00017-5
  • Edmonds JA, LE Clarke, MA Wise, and JP Lurz. 2007. International CO2 Stabilization Scenarios with Less-Than-Perfect "Where" and "When" FlexibilityPNNL-16932, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Edmonds JA, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, SJ Friedman, and MA Wise. 2007. "TECHNOLOGY IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL: THE POTENTIAL REGIONAL DEPLOYMENT OF CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CO2 STABILIZATION." Chapter 16 in Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment, ed. M Schlesinger, et al, pp. 181-197.  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom. 
  • Edmonds JA, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, SJ Smith, PJ Runci, LE Clarke, EL Malone, and GM Stokes. 2007. Global Energy Technology Strategy: Addressing Climate Change Phase 2 Findings from an international Public-Private Sponsored Research Program.  Battetlle Memorial Institute, College Park, MD. 
  • Kyle GP, SJ Smith, LE Clarke, SH Kim, and MA Wise. 2007. The Value of End-Use Energy Efficiency in Mitigation of U.S. Carbon EmissionsPNNL-17039, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Kyle GP, SJ Smith, MA Wise, JP Lurz, and D Barrie. 2007. Long-Term Modeling of Wind Energy in the United StatesPNNL-16316, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Wise MA, P Sinha, SJ Smith, and JP Lurz. 2007. Long-Term US Industrial Energy Use and CO2 Emissions PNNL-17149, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 

2006

  • Clarke LE, MA Wise, M Placet, RC Izaurralde, JP Lurz, SH Kim, SJ Smith, and AM Thomson. 2006. Climate Change Mitigation: An Analysis of Advanced Technology ScenariosPNNL-16078, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Edmonds J, T Wilson, M Wise, and J Weyant. 2006. "Electrification of the Economy and CO2 Emissions Mitigation." Environmental Economics and Policy Studies 7(3):175-203. 
  • Kim SH, JA Edmonds, J Lurz, SJ Smith, and MA Wise. 2006. "The ObjECTS: Framework for Integrated Assessment: Hybrid Modeling of Transportation." The Energy Journal (Special Issue No. 2 2006):63. 

2005

  • Wise MA, and JJ Dooley. 2005. "Baseload and Peaking Economics and the Resulting Adoption of a Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage System for Electric Power Plants." In 7th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, vol. 1, ed. ES Rubin, DW Keith and CF Gilboy, pp. 303-311.  Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 

2004

  • Dooley JJ, SH Kim, JA Edmonds, JS Friedman, and MA Wise. 2004. "A FIRST ORDER GLOBAL GEOLOGIC CO2 STORAGE POTENTIAL SUPPLY CURVE AND ITS APPLICATION IN A GLOBAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL." In Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT7) , vol. 1, ed. ES Rubin, DW Keith, CF Gilboy, pp. 573-582.  Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 
  • Dooley JJ, CL Davidson, MA Wise, and RT Dahowski. 2004. "ACCELERATED ADOPTION OF CARBON DIOXIDE CAPTURE AND STORAGE WITHIN THE UNITED STATES ELECTRIC UTILITY INDUSTRY: THE IMPACT OF STABILIZING AT 450 PPMV AND 550 PPMV." In Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT-7), vol. 1, ed. ES Rubin, DW Keith, CF Gilboy, pp. 891-900.  Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 

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