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Atmospheric Science & Global Change

Staff information

Marshall Wise

Integrated Modeling & Energy

PNNL Publications


  • Calvin KV, MA Wise, GP Kyle, PL Patel, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds. 2014. "Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets." Climatic Change 123(3-4):691-704.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0897-y
  • Hejazi MI, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, E Davies, V Chaturvedi, MA Wise, PL Patel, J Eom, KV Calvin, RH Moss, and SH Kim. 2014. "LONG-TERM GLOBAL WATER USE PROJECTIONS USING SIX SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELING FRAMEWORK." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 81:205-226.  doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.05.006
  • Hejazi MI, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, E Davies, V Chaturvedi, MA Wise, PL Patel, J Eom, and KV Calvin. 2014. "Integrated assessment of global water scarcity over the 21st century under multiple climate change mitigation policies." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18(8):2859-2883.  doi:10.5194/hess-18-2859-2014
  • Lotze-Campen H, M von Lampe, GP Kyle, S Fujimori, P Havlik, H van Meijl, T Hasegawa, A Popp, C Schmitz, A Tabeau, H Valin, D Willenbockel, and MA Wise. 2014. "Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison." Agricultural Economics 45(1):103-116.  doi:10.1111/agec.12092
  • Popp A, SK Rose, KV Calvin, D Van Vuuren, JP Dietrich, MA Wise, E Stehfest, F Humpenoder, GP Kyle, J Van Vliet, N Bauer, H Lotze-Campen, D Klein, and E Kriegler. 2014. "Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options." Climatic Change 123(3-4):495-509.  doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0926-x
  • Robinson S, H van Meijl, D Willenbockel, H Valin, S Fujimori, T Masui, R Sands, MA Wise, KV Calvin, P Havlik, D Mason d'Croz, A Tabeau, A Kavallari, C Schmitz, JP Dietrich, and M von Lampe. 2014. "Comparing Supply-Side Specifications in Models of Global Agriculture and the Food System." Agricultural Economics 45(1):21-35.  doi:10.1111/agec.12087
  • Schmitz C, H van Meijl, GP Kyle, GC Nelson, S Fujimori, A Gurgel, P Havlik, E Heyhoe, D Mason d'Croz, A Popp, R Sands, A Tabeau, D van der Mensbrugghe, M von Lampe, MA Wise, E Blanc, T Hasegawa, A Kavallari, and H Valin. 2014. "Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison." Agricultural Economics 45(1):69-84.  doi:10.1111/agec.12090
  • Thomson AM, GP Kyle, X Zhang, V Bandaru, TO West, MA Wise, RC Izaurralde, and KV Calvin. 2014. "The contribution of future agricultural trends in the US Midwest to global climate change mitigation." Global Environmental Change 24:143-154.  doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.11.019
  • Wise MA, HC McJeon, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, and GP Kyle. 2014. "Assessing the interactions among U.S. climate policy, biomass energy, and agricultural trade." The Energy Journal 35(Special Issue):, doi:10.5547/01956574.35.si1.9
  • Wise MA, KV Calvin, GP Kyle, P Luckow, and JA Edmonds. 2014. "Economic and Physical Modeling of Land Use in GCAM 3.0 and an Application to Agricultural Productivity, Land, and Terrestrial Carbon." Climate Change Economics 5(2):Article No. 14500.  doi:10.1142/S2010007814500031
  • Wise MA, JJ Dooley, P Luckow, KV Calvin, and GP Kyle. 2014. "Agriculture, Land Use, Energy and Carbon Emission Impacts of Global Biofuel Mandates to Mid-Century." Applied Energy 114:763-773.  doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.08.042


  • Calvin KV, MA Wise, D Klein, D McCollum, M Tavoni, B van der Zwaan, and D Van Vuuren. 2013. "A Multi-Model Analysis of the Regional and Sectoral Roles of Bioenergy in Near- and Long-Term CO2 Emissions." Climate Change Economics 4(4):Article No. 1340014.  doi:10.1142/S2010007813400149
  • Calvin KV, MA Wise, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, GP Kyle, PW Luckow, and AM Thomson. 2013. "Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: Initial experiments using GCAM." Climatic Change 117(3):545-560.  doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y
  • Chaturvedi V, MI Hejazi, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, E Davies, MA Wise, and KV Calvin. 2013. Climate policy implications for agricultural water demandPNNL-22356, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Edmonds JA, PW Luckow, KV Calvin, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, GP Kyle, SH Kim, PL Patel, and LE Clarke. 2013. "Can Radiative Forcing Be Limited to 2.6 Wm-2 Without Negative Emissions From Bioenergy AND CO2 Capture and Storage?" Climatic Change 118(1):29-43.  doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0678-z
  • Eom J, RH Moss, JA Edmonds, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, R Kopp, GP Kyle, PW Luckow, PL Patel, AM Thomson, MA Wise, and Y Zhou. 2013. "Scenarios of Future Socio-Economics, Energy, Land Use, and Radiative Forcing." In Engineering Response to Climate Change, 2nd Ed., ed. RG Watts, pp. 81-138  CRC Press Inc, Boca Raton, FL. 
  • Jones AD, WD Collins, JA Edmonds, MS Torn, AC Janetos, KV Calvin, AM Thomson, LM Chini, J Mao, X Shi, P Thornton, G Hurtt, and MA Wise. 2013. "Greenhouse gas policy influences climate via direct effects of land-use change." Journal of Climate 26(11):3657-3670.  doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00377.1
  • Le Page YLB, G Hurtt, AM Thomson, B Bond-Lamberty, PL Patel, MA Wise, KV Calvin, GP Kyle, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, and AC Janetos. 2013. "Sensitivity of climate mitigation strategies to natural disturbances." Environmental Research Letters 8(1):Article No. 015018.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015018
  • Tavoni M, E Kriegler, T Aboumahboub, KV Calvin, G DeMaere, MA Wise, D Klein, J Jewell, T Kober, P Lucas, G Luderer, D McCollum, G Marangoni, K Riahi, and D Van Vuuren. 2013. "The distribution of the major economies' effort in the Durban platform scenarios." Climate Change Economics 4(4):Article No. 1340009.  doi:10.1142/S2010007813400095


  • Edmonds JA, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, and MA Wise. 2012. "Energy and technology lessons since Rio." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 1):S7-S14.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.08.037
  • Edmonds JA, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, AC Janetos, SH Kim, MA Wise, and HC McJeon. 2012. "Integrated Assessment Modeling." In Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology, ed. RA Meyers, pp. 5398-5428.  Springer , New York, NY. 
  • Eom J, KV Calvin, LE Clarke, JA Edmonds, SH Kim, R Kopp, GP Kyle, P Luckow, RH Moss, PL Patel, and MA Wise. 2012. "Exploring the Future Role of Asia Utilizing A Scenario Matrix Architecture and Shared Socio-Ecosystem Pathways." Energy Economics 34(Supplement 3):S325-S338.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2012.03.012


  • Luckow P, MA Wise, and JJ Dooley. 2011. "Deployment of CCS Technologies across the Load Curve for a Competitive Electricity Market as a Function of CO2 Emissions Permit Prices." In 10th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, September 19-23, 2010, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Energy Procedia, vol. 4, ed. J Gale, C Hendriks, W Turkenberg, pp. 5762-5769.  Elsevier, London, United Kingdom.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2011.02.572
  • McJeon HC, LE Clarke, GP Kyle, MA Wise, A Hackbarth, B Bryant, and R Lempert. 2011. "Technology Interactions among Low Carbon Energy Technologies: What Can We Learn from a Large Number of Scenarios?" Energy Economics 33(4):619-631.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2010.10.007
  • Kyle GP, LE Clarke, SJ Smith, SH Kim, M Nathan, and MA Wise. 2011. "The Value of Advanced End-Use Energy Technologies in Meeting U.S. Climate Policy Goals." The Energy Journal 32(Special Issue):Article No. 5. 
  • Pugh G, LE Clarke, R Marlay, GP Kyle, MA Wise, HC McJeon, and G Chan. 2011. "Energy R&D portfolio analysis based on climate change mitigation." Energy Economics 33(4):634-643.  doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2010.11.007
  • Thomson AM, KV Calvin, SJ Smith, GP Kyle, AC Volke, PL Patel, S Delgado Arias, B Bond-Lamberty, MA Wise, LE Clarke, and JA Edmonds. 2011. "RCP4.5: A Pathway for Stabilization of Radiative Forcing by 2100." Climatic Change 109(1-2):77-94.  doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0151-4


  • Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, and MA Wise. 2010. Bioenergy and the importance of land use policy in a carbon-constrained worldPNNL-19462, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2010. Biomass Energy for Transport and Electricity: Large scale utilization under low CO2 concentration scenariosPNNL-19124, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Luckow P, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2010. "Large-Scale Utilization of Biomass Energy and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage in the Transport and Electricity Sectors under Stringent CO2 Concentration Limit Scenarios." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(5):865-877.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2010.06.002
  • Thomson AM, KV Calvin, LP Chini, G Hurtt, JA Edmonds, B Bond-Lamberty, S Frolking, MA Wise, and AC Janetos. 2010. "Climate mitigation and the future of tropical landscapes." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107(46):19633-19638 . 
  • Wise MA, GP Kyle, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2010. "The Impact of Electric Passenger Transport Technology under an Economy-Wide Climate Policy in the United States: Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Coal Use, and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage ." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 4(2):301-308.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2009.09.003


  • Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, B Bond-Lamberty, LE Clarke, SH Kim, GP Kyle, SJ Smith, AM Thomson, and MA Wise. 2009. "2.6: Limiting Climate Change to 450 ppm CO2 Equivalent in the 21st Century." Energy Economics 31(2):S107-S120. 
  • Calvin KV, JA Edmonds, LE Clarke, B Bond-Lamberty, SH Kim, MA Wise, AM Thomson, and GP Kyle. 2009. Land-use LeakagePNNL-18585, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Calvin KV, PL Patel, AA Fawcett, LE Clarke, K Fisher-Vanden, JA Edmonds, SH Kim, R Sands, and MA Wise. 2009. "The Distribution and Magnitude of Emissions Mitigation Costs in Climate Stabilization Under Less Than Perfect International Cooperation: SGM Results." Energy Economics 31(2):S187-S197 . 
  • Wise MA, and JJ Dooley. 2009. "The Value of Post-Combustion Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Technologies in a World with Uncertain Greenhouse Gas Emissions Constraints." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 3(1):39-48.  doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2008.06.012
  • Kyle GP, LE Clarke, G Pugh, MA Wise, KV Calvin, JA Edmonds, and SH Kim. 2009. "The Value of Advanced Technology in Meeting 2050 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets in the United States." Energy Economics 31(2):S254-S267. 
  • Wise MA, KV Calvin, AM Thomson, LE Clarke, B Bond-Lamberty, RD Sands, SJ Smith, AC Janetos, and JA Edmonds. 2009. "Implications of Limiting CO2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy." Science 324(5931):1183-1186 . 


  • Edmonds JA, LE Clarke, JP Lurz, and MA Wise. 2008. "Stabilizing CO2 Concentrations with Incomplete International Cooperation." Climate Policy 8(4):355-376. 
  • Edmonds JA, LE Clarke, MA Wise, HM Pitcher, and SJ Smith. 2008. "Implications for the USA of stabilization of radiative forcing at 3.4 W/m2 ." Climate Policy 8:S76 - S92. 
  • Wise MA, GP Kyle, JJ Dooley, and SH Kim. 2008. "The Impact of Electric Passenger Transport Technology on the Demand for Coal-fired Power with CCS under a Climate Policy." In Energy Procedia: 9th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Contorol Technologies (GHGT9), vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 4355-4362.  Elsevier, London, United Kingdom.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2009.02.249


  • Wise MA, JJ Dooley, RT Dahowski, and CL Davidson. 2007. "Modeling the Impacts of Climate Policy on the Deployment of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage across Electric Power Regions in the United States." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 1(2):261-270.  doi:10.1016/S1750-5836(07)00017-5
  • Wise MA, JJ Dooley, RT Dahowski, and CL Davidson. 2007. "Modelling the impacts of climate policy on the deployment of carbon dioxide capture and geologic storage across electric power regions in the United States." International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 1(2):261-270.  doi:10.1016/S1750-5836(07)00017-5
  • Edmonds JA, LE Clarke, MA Wise, and JP Lurz. 2007. International CO2 Stabilization Scenarios with Less-Than-Perfect "Where" and "When" FlexibilityPNNL-16932, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Edmonds JA, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, SJ Friedman, and MA Wise. 2007. "TECHNOLOGY IN AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL: THE POTENTIAL REGIONAL DEPLOYMENT OF CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CO2 STABILIZATION." Chapter 16 in Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment, ed. M Schlesinger, et al, pp. 181-197.  Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom. 
  • Edmonds JA, MA Wise, JJ Dooley, SH Kim, SJ Smith, PJ Runci, LE Clarke, EL Malone, and GM Stokes. 2007. Global Energy Technology Strategy: Addressing Climate Change Phase 2 Findings from an international Public-Private Sponsored Research Program.  Battetlle Memorial Institute, College Park, MD. 
  • Kyle GP, SJ Smith, LE Clarke, SH Kim, and MA Wise. 2007. The Value of End-Use Energy Efficiency in Mitigation of U.S. Carbon EmissionsPNNL-17039, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Kyle GP, SJ Smith, MA Wise, JP Lurz, and D Barrie. 2007. Long-Term Modeling of Wind Energy in the United StatesPNNL-16316, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Wise MA, P Sinha, SJ Smith, and JP Lurz. 2007. Long-Term US Industrial Energy Use and CO2 Emissions PNNL-17149, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 


  • Clarke LE, MA Wise, M Placet, RC Izaurralde, JP Lurz, SH Kim, SJ Smith, and AM Thomson. 2006. Climate Change Mitigation: An Analysis of Advanced Technology ScenariosPNNL-16078, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA. 
  • Edmonds J, T Wilson, M Wise, and J Weyant. 2006. "Electrification of the Economy and CO2 Emissions Mitigation." Environmental Economics and Policy Studies 7(3):175-203. 
  • Kim SH, JA Edmonds, J Lurz, SJ Smith, and MA Wise. 2006. "The ObjECTS: Framework for Integrated Assessment: Hybrid Modeling of Transportation." The Energy Journal (Special Issue No. 2 2006):63. 


  • Wise MA, and JJ Dooley. 2005. "Baseload and Peaking Economics and the Resulting Adoption of a Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage System for Electric Power Plants." In 7th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, vol. 1, ed. ES Rubin, DW Keith and CF Gilboy, pp. 303-311.  Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 


  • Dooley JJ, SH Kim, JA Edmonds, JS Friedman, and MA Wise. 2004. "A FIRST ORDER GLOBAL GEOLOGIC CO2 STORAGE POTENTIAL SUPPLY CURVE AND ITS APPLICATION IN A GLOBAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL." In Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT7) , vol. 1, ed. ES Rubin, DW Keith, CF Gilboy, pp. 573-582.  Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 
  • Dooley JJ, CL Davidson, MA Wise, and RT Dahowski. 2004. "ACCELERATED ADOPTION OF CARBON DIOXIDE CAPTURE AND STORAGE WITHIN THE UNITED STATES ELECTRIC UTILITY INDUSTRY: THE IMPACT OF STABILIZING AT 450 PPMV AND 550 PPMV." In Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT-7), vol. 1, ed. ES Rubin, DW Keith, CF Gilboy, pp. 891-900.  Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 

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